Tuesday, November 04, 2008

Quick Overview

  • U.S. factory orders fell 2.5% in September, weaker than expected.

  • YoY producer prices in the Euro area rose 7.9% in September.

  • China’s Manufacturers Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) showed that factory activity fell to 45.2 from 47.7. (50 and below indicates contraction)

  • Spain’s unemployment rate reached a 12-year high of 11.3%, the worst in the EU.

  • The USDA said 55% of the corn crop was harvested, down from the five-year average of 79%.
    86% of the soybean crop was harvested, at its regular pace.

  • The cost of production for Brazilian soybeans, produced in Mato Grosso, is estimates in a range of $8.27 to 9.19 with transportation costs adding $2.50-3.25 per bushel. This means farmers will need to see a board price north of $11.00 per bushel in the May 09 forward futures in order to lock in a positive return.

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