• New home sales rose 4.8% to a 1.011-million unit pace. This marks the first time since November 2006 that the pace of new home sales topped 1-million units and is the strongest pace since September 2006. Moreover, sales were revised sharply higher for the prior month and have averaged a 939,000- unit pace over the past three months.”

 

• Fed's Bullard: Inflation could rise to 2% as soon as next year. He also prognosticated that  the “U.S. economy within reach of full recovery this year”.
• Fed's Kaplan forecasts Q3 GDP to expand 30% annualized and for the unemployment rate to end the year at 7.5%.

 

• Recent speculation has it that the Fed may not print money and cut rates with quite the eager abandon that had been expected. This wouldn’t be good news for the U.S. economy, as it would raise rates, and make gold and risk assets - less popular..

 

• Can a fiscal stimulus be thrashed out relatively soon? Nope -  doesn’t look like it.

 

• Vaccine optimism is slowly fading too.  Even if we get a positive vaccine approved over the next couple of months, the forecasts from Good Judgement Inc. has declined from 70% to 52% that 25-million people will be inoculated before the winter wave is over. 

 

• (Reuters) - The World Bank’s private-sector arm has introduced new climate change conditions for its investments in commercial banks to encourage the lenders to wind down support for coal projects in Africa and Asia. The International Finance Corporation (IFC), which owns equity stakes in many large commercial banks in emerging markets, hopes the restrictions will trigger other investors to exit the coal sector.

 

• CME Group CME and Nasdaq NDAQ announced a plan to launch the Nasdaq Veles California WaterIndex futures contract, which will have a settlement price based on its namesake index, late in the fourth quarter of this year, pending a regulatory review.
• The contract will allow investors to hedge price risks in the spot water market and better manage price swings, says Tim McCourt, CME Group’s global head of equity products and alternative investments.

• The Bank of Mexico,  unanimously agreed to trim the benchmark rate by 0.25 basis points to 4.25%, for what was its 11th consecutive cut since August 2019.