Ancient wheat plague threatens world crops anew Whipping winds can transport spores as many as 100 miles (160 kilometers) per day, raising concerns among scientists about where the epidemic could turn up next.

Nuclear fuel has melted through base of Fukushima plant The findings of the report, which has been given to the International Atomic Energy Agency, were revealed by the Yomiuri newspaper, which described a "melt-through" as being "far worse than a core meltdown" and "the worst possibility in a nuclear accident."

• NJ Gov. Chris Christie wants a new nuclear plant in the state to replace one that will shut down.

• In the wake of Fukushima Germany's bets big on renewable energy and shuts  all its nuclear power plants by 2022.

Quick Overview

• OPEC couldn't agree on an increase in production quotas.

• (FT) BP statistical review of world energy shows China accounted for 20.3%t of consumption, surpassing the US on 19%.

• (MW)The Federal Reserve's latest survey of economic conditions throughout the country found slower growth in many regions. Fed banks in Philadelphia, Atlanta, New York and Chicago all reported a downshift in activity. Only the Dallas Fed reported accelerated growth.

• (FT) Dry weather across northern Europe has raised concerns among commodity traders of a crop failure similar to last year's devastating losses in Russia.

• (Bloomberg) -- Wet weather that delayed corn planting in the U.S., the world’s largest exporter, may send global inventories to their lowest in 37 years.

• With few options at hand and his poll numbers sagging, President Barack Obama expressed concern yesterday about the sudden slowdown in the economy but said he was not worried about a second recession and America should "not panic". He’s contemplating a payroll tax break for employers.

10 physical gestures that have been patented
Apple is trying to claim ownership of everything from an infinity gesture on your phone, to some sort of weird thing where you stick three fingers on the screen and wiggle the middle one in a circle.

Next update June 8

UN proposes commodity deal tax to curb speculation
The United Nations has proposed a tax on commodity transactions, and government intervention in markets, to curb the speculation that the organisation believes is artificially lifting prices, and volatility, of raw materials.

Wheat Rallying 20% as Parched Fields Wilt From China to Kansas

Parts of China, the biggest grower, had the least rain in a century, some European regions are the driest in 50 years and almost half the winter-wheat crop in the U.S., the largest exporter, is rated poor or worse.

Quick Overview

• US unemployment rose from 9% to 9.1%, analysts had expected a fall to 8.9%.

• Chinese ratings agency Dagong Global Credit Rating put France's AA- credit rating on negative watch.

• S&P/Case-Shiller US Home Price Index for Q1, showing that the U.S. home prices declined 4.2% in the period to a new low since mid-2002.

• India Plans $12 Billion Highway Expansion.

• Radiation readings inside the Fukushima No. 1 reactor building rose to the highest level yet, almost three months after the disaster started.

Climate change curbs crops Warming has already lowered yields of wheat and corn.
Farmers have produced less food during the past three decades than they would have done were climate change not happening..

Quick Overview

• The DOE reported an increase of 2.9 million barrels of oil. Analysts expected a decrease around 1.9 million barrels.
• The EIA reported an increase of 2.6 million barrels for gasoline inventories. Analysts had expected gasoline inventories to rise 1.2 million.
• The DOE reported a decrease of 1 million for stockpiles of distillates.

• U.S. Factory orders fell 1.2% in April to $440.4 billion after a upwardly revised 3.8% gain in March.

• The number of US people who filed applications for unemployment compensation fell slightly last week to 422,000 from 428,000

• As the E. coli outbreak continues to ravage Germany and other parts of Europe, the World Health Organization said Thursday that the aggressive intestinal bacterium is a new strain never seen before. Meanwhile fears of the illness prompted Russia to ban imports of vegetables from the EU.

• The Canadian Wheat Board released information regarding a possible 4 to 5 million acres of wheat not being planted

• China will encourage coal imports and urge miners to boost output to increase supplies to power plants.
• China's growth is slowing but still looks set to outstrip expectations in 2011, with rapid urbanization, manufacturing and demand for housing stoking its economy, Rio Tinto said.
• China announced that it will raise electricity prices for nonresidential consumers about 3% to offset lofty coal prices.
• Xinhua said that rainfall along the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze was down 40 to 60 percent from the average, with the totals being lower than at any time since 1951. 

• Brazil's environment agency gave final approval this week for the construction of the Belo Monte Dam, an immense hydroelectric station in the Amazon.

Quick Overview

• The ISM index of U.S. manufacturing activity fell to 53.5% last month from 60.4 in April.

• Macau says gambling revenue surges 42% in May -- MPEL new high on the move

• The Linn Group on Wednesday lowered its forecast of U.S. 2011 corn plantings to 87.233 million acres, from its May 18 estimate of 89.538 million. (NOT ENOUGH!!)

• US Construction spending improved in April, rising 0.4%.

• The unemployment rate in the euro zone remained high at 9.9 percent in April

• India's January-March GDP rose 7.8% YoY

• Moody's warns of possible downgrade to Japan's debt rating.

• Mark Mobius: Total value of global derivatives exceeds total global GDP by a factor of 10

• Japan’s unemployment rate at 4.7% in April.

• Florida orange trees aged over 14 years has doubled to more than 60% so far this century.

• Oil World estimates the German rapeseed crop down 19%.

• The French government weather agency Meteo France said this spring has been both the warmest and the driest on record, with a higher average temperature and less rain than in 1976, which had the most severe drought since the agency began compiling the data.

• China's manufacturing-activity fell to 52.0 vs. forecast of 52.2.

• The Australian GDP fell  1.2% in the March quarter.

• YoY South Koreas CPI rose 4.1% May
   

No update today

Quick Overview

• (Bloomberg) Prince Alwaleed bin Talal said an oil price of $70 to $80 a barrel is in the best interests of Saudi Arabia because it diminishes the urgency in the U.S. and Europe to develop alternative energy sources.

• Russia plans to let the grain-export ban expire July 1. (as expected)

• (Bloomberg) Steel demand in China, the world’s biggest consumer, may rise by as much as a quarter by 2015 compared with demand last year, according to a projection from the China Iron & Steel Association, which represents producers.

• Chinese animal feed manufacturers consumed 74.7 million metric tons of corn last year, an increase of 20% from 2009.

Quick Overview

• Morgan Stanley lifted its Brent oil forecast to $120 a barrel this year.

• The market is watching the Icelandic volcano eruption, with a lot of analysts of the view that the 2010 Russian crop failures were due to the huge volcanic eruption in Iceland during March/April last year.

• The US Department of Commerce reported that Q1 GDP rose by 1.8%, below expectations of 2.2%.

• Minneapolis wheat rose to new 35-month highs. (Disclosure: The Advisor is long)

• Barclays Capital said  Shandong, China's second-ranked wheat-producing province, has received just 12mm of rain since September 2010, indicating that around 40% of the province's wheat crop has been lost".

• The USDA reports the sale of 4.6 million bushels of old-crop corn to China. (Disclosure: The Advisor is long)

• South Korea's consumer sentiment index rose to 104 in May, up from 100 the previous month, the Bank of Korea said

• QoQ U.S. house price fell 2.5 % in Q1

• India's  wholesale price index for food articles rose 8.55% YoY

• Malaysian Bulker Carrier (MBC) is anticipating the dry bulk market to recover over the medium-term with an increase in coal imports by Japan.

Next update Thursday

Quick Overview

• S&P 500 profits may reach $104.73 in the next 12 months. Biggs “stocks reasonably priced”

• Ohio may have only 10% corn planted said Ohio State University corn agronomist.

• The USDA on Friday said cattle placed into feedlots in April rose 10% YoY while analysts were looking for a 4.3% increase.
  
  
• (WSJ) 46.5% of Americans say they couldn’t come up with $2,000 in 30 days or would have to rely on extreme measures

Quick Overview

• (Bloomberg) -- Standard & Poor’s threat that it may cut Italy’s credit rating risks fanning contagion among debt- laden European countries as Greece fends off speculation that it’s headed to a restructuring.

• China’s April sugar imports rose to 160,000 tons, up nearly 10 x YoY

• Fitch Ratings cut Greece’s long-term rating to B-plus from BB-plus and placed all ratings on Rating Watch Negative

• The Spanish Socialist (PSOE) party of Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero suffered a crushing defeat in the local and regional elections held in Spain this Sunday

• Statistics Canada said Friday that Canada's annual inflation rate kept at 3.3 % in April, matching  March.

Next update Sunday

Quick Overview

• France’s soft-wheat harvest, the largest in the European Union, will decline 12% as drought slashes yields, Agritel said.

• U.S. Crude supplies fell 15,000 barrels to 370.3 million last week.
• Refineries operated at 83.2 percent of capacity
• Gasoline inventories rose 119,000 to 205.9 million
• Distillate inventories fell 1.16 million barrels to 143.1 million, the lowest level since April 2009.

• U.S. Health-care expenses will rise 8.5% in 2012, according to a study by Pricewaterhouse

Quick Overview

• U.S. Housing starts have dropped 10.6% to an annual rate of 523,000 in April

• Soros said his hedge fund dumped nearly all of its gold holdings.

• Map of the world, resized by each country's relative water resources.

• Ukraine may cancel quotas on the exports of wheat in 2010/2011 marketing year, stated Nikolay Azarov, Prime Minister of Ukraine.

• Iron ore shipments from Australia's Port Hedland, one of the world's largest export terminals, fell to 15.88 million tonnes in April from 17.78 million tonnes in March

• Oil producers need to boost capacity by 45 million barrels a day, or almost half current output, over the next 20 years to meet demand and offset field declines, said the president of Society of Petroleum Engineers.

• The current weather forecasts suggest that 20 million acres of corn or more will have to be seeded in June.
  
  
• Watermelons are exploding in China after farmers overdid it with growth chemicals
  

  
  
• New highs for PG and DPS
• Jim Rogers Commodities: We Have Virtually No New Supply Of Anything