Quick Overview

• The National Association of Realtors index of pending home sales rose 1.0% in December and 10.9% YoY
  

• YoY Producer prices in the EU fell 2.9%
  

• Debt-hit Greece should not be bailed out, one of the founders of Europe's euro currency has warned.
  

• China’s government, seeking to stem property speculation, told banks to raise interest rates on “third” mortgages and demand bigger down payments.
  

• China's Cotton Association estimated that cotton plantings will be down 5% this year.
  

• (Bloomberg) -- Raw sugar prices probably will decline from a 29-year high this year as a “huge increase” in production driven mainly by Brazil may balance the market, according to German research company F.O. Licht.

• Global sugar production will trail demand by 8 million metric tons, more than forecast, F.O. Licht said.
  

• Swiss lawmaker compares Germany's attempts to get hold of data on cross-border tax evaders to bank robbery.
  

• Cement, coal and industrial metals producers across Asia will benefit in coming years from a massive push by India to overhaul its infrastructure, a fund manager at JPMorgan Asset Management said.
  

• Copper prices are set to plunge as speculators unwind positions and global inventories expand, according to David Threlkeld, president of metals trader Resolved Inc.

• Fortis bank estimates the cocoa stock to use ratio at 35% at the end of 2010-11.

Should Germany bail out Club Med or leave the euro altogether?
Germany faces a terrible dilemma. Either Europe's paymaster agrees to underwrite a Greek bail-out and drops its vehement opposition to a de facto EU economic government, treasury, and debt union, or the euro will start to unravel, and with it Germany's strategic investment in the post-war order.

Quick Overview

• U.S. personal incomes rose 0.3% in December. YoY personal incomes fell 1.4%, the biggest decline since 1938.
  

• U.S. Consumer spending rose 0.2%.
  

• The Institute of Supply Management's manufacturing index rose from 54.9 to 58.4
  

• U.S. Construction spending fell 1.2% MoM. YoY construction spending fell 12.4%
  

• Manufacturing in Australia rose from 48.5 to 51.0 in January
  

• Manufacturing in the U.K. rose from 54.6 to 56.7 in January.
  

• Manufacturing in the EU rose from 51.6 to 52.4 in January
  

• Russia's GDP fell 7.9% in 2009
  

• Global demand for sugar will exceed supply by 13.5 million tons this season, according to broker Czarnikow Group Ltd.
  

• (Bloomberg) -- Soybean fungi are spreading across Brazil and Argentina, the world’s second- and third-largest producers, threatening record crops.
  

• The USDA said U.S. cattle inventory fell 0.9% YoY

• Australia surprised markets with the decision to leave its rates unchanged at 3.75%.
  

• Shell plans $1.63B investment in Brazilian ethanol.

• Daily charts of interest:
  BDI, Capesize, Dollar P&F, Soy P&F, S&P Cycle, S&P Vxo Ratio, Las Vegas RE, Crude.

• Weekly charts of interest:
  World Copper stocks, NY weekly adv. Issues.

• Monthly charts of interest:
  World Markets with 6 month average above 24 month average, Chile, Argentina, Sri Lanka, RE CPI adj.
  
  
  

Updates resume Feb. 1

Quick Overview

• U.S. existing home sales fell 16.7% MoM

• The Dallas Fed regional index of manufacturing rose from 3.2 to 8.3
  

• (Bloomberg) -- Copper may rise to a record $10,000 a metric ton this year, driven by industrial demand in China and rising commodity investments to hedge inflation, said Shen Haihua, an investment manager at HFZ Capital Management Ltd.
  

• Canada’s lumber production fell 14% YoY.

• (FT) China has experienced the strongest growth in scientific research over the past three decades of any country.

• Sugar rose above 30 cents a pound in intraday trading on news that Indonesia is expecting a 530,976-metric-ton production shortfall at the end of April.
• Indonesia's state plantation company PT Perkebunan Nusantara IX has bought 46,000 metric tons of white sugar at $822/ton -- to arrive no later than April 7.

• More than half a million hectares of Philippine rice lands are threatened by an El Nino-induced dry spell, the Philippine Department of Agriculture said Tuesday. Drier-than-usual conditions have already been noted in some areas, and based on assessment by the department

Quick Overview

• Daily charts of interest: SP500, Dow Theory, Dollar Index, Russian Rubel, Brazilian Real, Euro Currency, NY ADL, NY Volume ADL, Rice.
  

• Weekly charts of interest: SOX, XAU, DJIA, Weekly Adv., London Copper,London Silver, Swiss Franc, Crude CPI adj., Sugar CPI adj., Multiplier.
  

• Jan. 23 (Bloomberg) -- General Electric Co. said improving economic conditions and reduced costs are giving it flexibility to consider using cash for acquisitions and eventually for stock buybacks and dividend increases.
  

• Now that the U.S. wheat industry appears united in supporting genetically modified crops, it's preparing for the challenge of getting foreign-market acceptance, said U.S. Wheat Associates Director of Policy Rebecca Bratter.
  

• US sugar says 50% of its remaining FL cane is badly freeze damaged.

After the Massachusetts Massacre
Can anyone picture Obama exerting such take-no-prisoners leadership to challenge those who threaten our own economic recovery and stability at a time of deep recession and war? That we can’t is a powerful indicator of why what happened in Massachusetts will not stay in Massachusetts if this White House fails to reboot.

Quick Overview

• Canada’s retail sales fell 0.3%.
  

• U.K. retail sales rose 3.6%
  

• EU industrial new orders rose 1.8% in November, but fell 2.0% YoY.
  

• The USDA said 2.13 billion pounds of beef was produced in December, up 2.5% YoY
  

• The USDA said 1.99 billion pounds of Pork was produced, down 3.3% YoY.
  

• North America's cocoa grind totaled 111,986 tons in Q4 -- down 1.5% YoY
  
  
  

Olbermann: Freedom of speech has been destroyed!

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Supreme Court Rules 5-4 Against Campaign Limitations in The Hillary The Movie Case
In a decision that could have a dramatic effect on the upcoming elections, the Supreme Court has ruled 5-4 in favor of a group of conservative filmmakers..

Quick Overview

• Obama has a new proposal that would force institutions to choose between commercial banking and proprietary trading, while seeking to limit the size of megabanks.
  

• The stock market fell amid ongoing fears about tighter monetary policy in China and uncertainty over Obama's plans to rein in risky bank activities.
  

• US jobless claims rose 36,000 to 482,000 -- more than expected.
  

• U.S. leading indicators rose1.1% in December
  

• The Philadelphia Federal Reserve's index of regional manufacturing fell from 22.5 to 15.2
  

• The UK posted a budget deficit of 15.7 billion pounds in December
  

• Canada’s wholesale sales rose 2.5% in November
  

• The World Bank increased its estimate of 2010 global growth to 2.7% from 2.0%.
  

• The lineup of vessels expected to load sugar at Brazilian ports in the days ahead rose by one to 31 ships in the week ended Wednesday, Jan. 20.
• The sugar crisis deepened on Thursday after Indonesia, one of the world’s leading importers, failed to buy a single pound of the sweetener in its latest tender.
  
  

• The International Grains Council said world wheat production is expected to fall 1.7% to 674 million tons in the 2009-10
  
  

• Colombian coffee production in calendar year 2009 ended down 32% at 7.8 million 60-kilogram bags
  

• The U.S. Department of Energy said:
  Supplies of crude oil fell 400,000 barrels to 330.6 million barrels.
  Supplies of gasoline rose 3.9 million barrels
  Supplies of heating oil fell 1.1 million barrels.
  Refinery use fell from 81.3% to 78.4% last week.
  Gasoline demand fell 0.2% YoY
  Distillate demand fell 6.8% YoY.
  

Quick Overview

• U.S. housing starts fell 4.0% MoM.
  

• U.S. producer prices rose 0.2% MoM and 4.4% YoY.
  

• China is telling large banks to cut back on lending -- the uncertainty over Beijing's monetary policy is depressing stocks and commodities.

• China's GDP grew 10.7% in Q4
  
  

• Canada’s manufacturing sales rose 0.1% in November
  

• Canada’s consumer prices rose 1.3% YoY
  

• B of A lost $5.2 billion in Q4.

• Indonesia has only just enough sugar stocks to last until mid-February, the trade minister said

Quick Overview

• Canada’s index of leading indicators rose 1.5% in December.
  

• YoY U.K. consumer prices rose 2.9% in December
  

• EU construction output fell 0.6% in November and down 6.7% YoY
  

• Japan's consumer confidence fell from 39.5 to 37.6 in December.
  

• Citigroup posted a loss of $7.6 billion in Q4.
  

• Cadbury accepted a sweetened 11.5 billion pound ($19.5 billion) takeover from Kraft Foods Inc.

• India may have to buy at least 7 million tons this season, with white sugar making up about a third of the total, Macquarie Group Ltd. said in a report this month.

• The WWF says on its website that the tiger is one of the top 10 species to watch in 2010, pointing out that there may be just 3,200 of the animals left globally in the wild.

Quick Overview

• (FT)China’s soaring appetites for commodities have created some of the worst traffic jams seen at ports handling bulk cargo. Ships were queuing for an average of 27½ days to collect coal in Queensland, Australia.
  

• The Drewry Global Freight Rate Index (container shipping rates) rose 3 % YoY to November 2009.
  

• Last week’s charts of interest:
  Capsize held support and broke the downtrend.
  Supramax is making a new high for the move.
• Cocoa
• Australian Dollar
• Orange Juice
• T-Bond Rates

Quick Overview

• U.S. consumer price index rose 0.1% MoM and 2.7% YoY
  

• U.S. industrial production rose 0.6%
  

• The NY Federal Reserve's index of manufacturing rose from 4.50 to 15.92 in January
  

• YoY Consumer prices in the EU rose 1.4% in December

• The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index rose from 72.5 to 72.8

Quick Overview

• U.S. Jobless claims rose 11,000 last week to 444,000 -- more than expected.
  

• U.S. retail sales fell 0.3% in December.
  

• US inventories rose 0.4% in November -- more than expected.
  

• Australia's unemployment rate fell from 5.7% to 5.5% in December
  

• EU industrial production rose 0.9% in November, but fell 6.4% YoY
  

• Japan’s machinery orders fell 11.3% in November -- weaker than expected.
  

• (Bloomberg) India surpassed China as the world’s biggest buyer of palm oil as rising incomes increased demand for fried and processed foods and drought reduced domestic cooking oil production, according to a processor group.

• Intel's net income totaled 40 cents a share, in the three months ended December -- beating expectations for 30 cents.

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Quick Overview

• The Fed’s Beige Book said ten Districts reported some increased activity and improvement in conditions.
  

• The Mortgage Bankers Association said its index of mortgage applications rose 14%.
  

• U.K. Manufacturing was unchanged in November and down 5.4% YoY
  

• YoY Germany's GDP fell 5.0%
  

• The U.S. Department of Energy said:
  Supplies of crude oil rose 3.7 million barrels to 331.0 million barrels.
  Supplies of gasoline rose 3.8 million barrels
  Supplies of heating oil fell 1.1 million barrels.
  Refinery use rose from 79.9% to 81.3% of capacity last week
  Gasoline rose 0.4% YoY
  Distillate demand fell 4.0% YoY
  

• India imported 343 tons of gold in 09, down from 420 tons in 08

• Germany's fourth-quarter 2009 cocoa grind rose 9.4 YoY to 95,834 tonnes, the association of German Confectionary Producers said.
  

Quick Overview

• U.S. exports rose 0.9% in November while imports rose 2.6%
  

• Canada’s exports rose 1.1% while imports rose 3.9%
  

• China raised bank reserve requirements by 0.5%.

• India's economic growth in 2009/10 is expected to be 7.0 to 7.5%, the prime minister's economic advisor said.
  
  

• The USDA's 2009-2010 U.S. ending stocks estimate of:
  Corn was raised from 1.675 to 1.764 billion bushels.Yields were the culprit, coming in at 165.2 bu/acre, from 162.9 bu/acre last month and 0.7 bu/acre above the highest trade estimate.
  Soybeans were reduced from 255 to 245 million bushels.
  Wheat was raised from 900 to 976 million bushels.
  Sugar was raised from 1.016 to 1.140 million tons.
  Cotton was lowered from 4.50 to 4.30 million bales.
  
  

• The USDA's 2009-2010 world ending stocks estimate of:
  Corn was raised from 132 to 136 million tons.
  Soybeans were raised from 57 to 60 million tons.
  Wheat was raised from 191 to 196 million tons.
  Cotton was lowered to 51.7 million bales.
  
  

• Orange crop was kept unchanged at 135 million boxes, but the juice yield was lowered from 1.63 to 1.60 gallons per box -- the government report was compiled before the freezing weather struck.
  
  
  
• The USDA reduced its 2010 estimate of beef production 2% from 2009.

• (Reuters) Dry bulk ship owners are insisting vessels go via the Cape of Good Hope on voyages from South Africa to Mediterranean ports to avoid pirates in the Gulf of Aden - adding 10 days to shipping times. Utilities in Italy, Greece and Israel which use coal shipped from Indonesia and South Africa are having to pay higher shipping costs for the longer voyages, utility sources said. Around 60 percent of South Africa's 60 million tonnes a year of coal exports goes to Europe.

• A White House plan to slap a fee on U.S. banks to cover the cost of the $700 billion bailout was met with the expected skepticism by bank lobbyists.

• Pakistan will scrap taxes on the import of 700,000 tonnes of white sugar through the private sector to meet shortages and keep prices in check, Ministry of Industries officials said on Wednesday.

• The Philippines is planning to import up to 150,000 tons of refined sugar to cover increasing demand amid a shortfall in domestic production, a regulatory official said Wednesday.
  

America slides deeper into depression as Wall Street revels
Realtytrac says defaults and repossessions have been running at over 300,000 a month since February. One million American families lost their homes in the fourth quarter. Moody's Economy.com expects another 2.4m homes to go this year. Taken together, this looks awfully like Steinbeck's Grapes of Wrath.

Quick Overview

• World 2009-10 coffee production is expected to fall to 123.7 million (60-kilogram) bags, the International Coffee Organization said Monday.
  

• Brazil's orange juice exporters' association, Citrus Br, said it expected the next harvest to turn out between 300 million and 315 million 40.8-kg boxes in Sao Paulo state. This year's harvest will soon finish and has been estimated at 358.4 million boxes by the state's agriculture authorities.
  

• AccuWeather said crop losses in Florida's citrus groves could reach 10%.
  

• The Philippines may import up to 50,000 tonnes of raw sugar to rein in rising domestic prices but officials said on Monday there was enough supply to meet an increase in demand