Tuesday, January 24, 2006

77% of Google users don't know it records personal data
Google maintains a lifetime cookie that expires in 2038, and records the user's IP address. But more recently it has begun to integrate services which record the user's personal search history, email, shopping habits, and social contacts. After first promising not to tie its email service to its search service, Google went ahead and opted its users in anyway. It's all part of CEO Eric Schmidt's promise to create a "Google that knows more about you."
BoE’s Lomax warns of impact of global imbalances
Of particular concern is the possibility that the “global savings glut” described by incoming Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, may stop being used to purchase US assets. There is evidence that foreign investors, including some Asian central banks have already started cutting pack on such purchases. Net capital flows into the US in fell from $104bn in October to $89.1bn in November, though this was still sufficient to cover that month’s current account deficit of $64.2bn.
Google Agrees to Censor Results in China
Online search engine leader Google Inc. has agreed to censor its results in China, adhering to the country's free-speech restrictions in return for better access in the Internet's fastest growing market. ... Google's decision rankled Reporters Without Borders, a media watchdog group that has sharply criticized Internet companies including Yahoo and Microsoft Corp.'s MSN.com for submitting to China's censorship regime

Quick Overview

  • The confidence of U.S. consumers rose in the latest week as concerns about weather and energy prices eased, ABC News and the Washington Post said on Tuesday.

  • The Bank of Canada increased the overnight rate from 3.25% to 3.50%,

  • The Russian government said that its GDP increased 6% in 2005.

  • The Reserve Bank of India increased its interest rate from 5.25% to 5.50%, the highest in three years.

Monday, January 23, 2006

U.S. losing its luster as a talent magnet
This talent outflow poses more long-term dangers to our economy than the migration of low-skill-level jobs to cheaper foreign labor markets

Quick Overview

  • The massive and growing U.S. current account deficit poses a threat to the world economy and an eventual adjustment will not necessarily be gradual, New York Federal Reserve Bank President Timothy Geithner said on Monday.


  • The Conference Board's index of U.S. leading indicators was up 0.1%, less than expected.

  • Canada's retail sales were up 1.1%.

  • The USDA said there were 428 million pounds of frozen pork in storage, down 11% YoY. Frozen bellies totaled 47.9 million pounds, down 15% YoY.

  • The USDA said there were 1.045 billion pounds of frozen orange juice in storage on December 31st, down 29% YoY.

Sunday, January 22, 2006


I, Greenspan
Since I joined the Fed, outstanding home-mortgage debt has jumped from $1.8 trillion to $8.2 trillion. Total consumer debt went from $2.7 trillion to $11 trillion. Household debt has quadrupled.

And government debt, too, exploded. The feds owed less than $2 trillion in the second Reagan administration, a figure that had been almost constant for the previous 40 years. But under my direction, the red ink has overflowed like the Nile in flood – to over $7 trillion.

During the two terms of George W. Bush alone, the feds have borrowed more money from foreign governments and banks than all other American administrations put together, from 1776 to 2000. And more debt will be added in the eight Bush years than in the previous two hundred. The trade deficit, too, more than tripled since I’ve been at the Fed, from 150.7 to 756.8 billion, and will reach $830 billion in 2006. When I came to power, the United States was still a creditor. Now, it is a debtor, with more than $11 trillion worth of U.S. assets in foreign hands, a more than 500% increase since 1987.

Who can argue with such a record? Who can compete with it? Who would want to?

Saturday, January 21, 2006

America's dark materials STARE at something long and hard enough, and it will begin to swim before your eyes. Economists have been scrutinising America's current-account deficit for years now, and they are no closer to agreeing on what they are looking at. Now two economists at Harvard doubt whether the deficit even exists.
MS, AOL and Yahoo! caved to Feds' fishing expedition
But on closer examination, Google's reasons for fighting the subpoena are less altruistic and more to do with its familiar refrain, of protecting "commercially sensitive information". And as a justification, that's almost as redundant as the DoJ's fishing expedition itself, when we remember that AOL uses Google search technology. The Feds already have what they want.

Chart of the day

Long term T-Bond Rate minus Discount Rate

Iran's Bomb There's been a lot of talk recently about Israel and/or the United States bombing the nuclear facilities in Iran. I wouldn't worry about that. I believe they are both bluffing.
Nuclear Showdown With Iran
So, at least for now, it appears President Ahmadinejad has decided to do a North Korea: that is, defy the western powers, dig in, and be ready to fight to the last man.

Friday, January 20, 2006

'Green' Measures Key to Earth's Future, Report Says
Iran calls for oil output cut
Iran has called for a cut in global oil production while simultaneously preparing to shift its foreign assets out of Europe.

Quick Overview

  • U.S. Consumer sentiment rose for a third straight month from 91.5 to 93.4, according to the University of Michigan’s monthly consumer sentiment index released Friday.

  • Dick Cheney said on Friday that if avian flu were to arrive in the United States, it could deal a blow to the U.S. economy because of disruptions to businesses, schools and transport.

  • The Conference Board said on Friday its leading economic indicator for Mexico fell 0.3 percent in November, after showing no change the previous month. Lower oil prices brought less cash into the country.

  • Retail sales in the U.K. were up 0.4% in December

  • Canada's wholesale sales were down 0.2% in November. YoY sales were up 7.2%.

  • Consumer spending in France was down 1% in December.

  • The Associated Press reported that Iran was moving its currency reserves out of European banks to undisclosed locations.

  • The USDA said there were 11.804 million head of cattle on feed, up 4.5% YoY. December placements were up 2.7% and YoY marketing’s were down 3.5%.

  • U.S. Cocoa grindings were 96,673 tons in the fourth quarter, down 2.2% YoY.

  • Sugar is expected to post its fourth consecutive production shortage in 2006-2007, and Dow-Jones Newswire said that Brazil's sugar crop is in need of rain.
Q&A | Wireless pioneer looks to the future
At 72, Irwin Mark Jacobs knows more about cellphones than any teen whiz kid ever will.
Shipping Rates for Coal, Ore Fall to Five-Month Low on Supply
The cost of shipping commodities such as iron ore and coal fell to its lowest in more than five months because of a buildup of vessels available for hire in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans.

Thursday, January 19, 2006

Why We Fight
Google Rebuffs Feds on Search Requests
Google Inc. is rebuffing the Bush administration's demand for a peek at what millions of people have been looking up on the Internet's leading search engine

Quick Overview

  • The number of U.S. workers filing initial unemployment claims fell 36,000 last week to 271,000, the lowest level since April 2000, the Labor Department said.

  • U.S. New housing starts fell 8.9% in December from November, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. For all of 2005, housing starts were up 5.6% and construction of single family homes hit a new record high of 1.714 million units.

  • The Philadelphia Federal Reserve said that its index of regional manufacturing dropped from 10.9 to 3.3 in January -- still a sign of growth.

  • The Federal Reserve has lifted interest rates to more proper levels amid solid growth, policy-makers said on Thursday in remarks that hint the U.S. central bank will only raise rates one or two more times.

  • The U.S. Department of Energy said that:
    Supplies of crude oil were up 2.7 million barrels to 321.4 million barrels.
    Supplies of unleaded gasoline were up 2.8 million barrels
    Supplies of heating oil were up 1.0 million barrels.
    Supplies of underground natural gas were down 46 billion cubic feet to 2.575 trillion cubic feet.

  • YoY Consumer prices in the Euro zone were up 2.2% in December.

  • YoY Argentina's economy grew 9.1 percent in November, faster than expected.

  • Brazil posted a record current account surplus of $14.19 billion for 2005, up from $11.71 billion in 2004.