Friday, January 20, 2006

Quick Overview

  • U.S. Consumer sentiment rose for a third straight month from 91.5 to 93.4, according to the University of Michigan’s monthly consumer sentiment index released Friday.

  • Dick Cheney said on Friday that if avian flu were to arrive in the United States, it could deal a blow to the U.S. economy because of disruptions to businesses, schools and transport.

  • The Conference Board said on Friday its leading economic indicator for Mexico fell 0.3 percent in November, after showing no change the previous month. Lower oil prices brought less cash into the country.

  • Retail sales in the U.K. were up 0.4% in December

  • Canada's wholesale sales were down 0.2% in November. YoY sales were up 7.2%.

  • Consumer spending in France was down 1% in December.

  • The Associated Press reported that Iran was moving its currency reserves out of European banks to undisclosed locations.

  • The USDA said there were 11.804 million head of cattle on feed, up 4.5% YoY. December placements were up 2.7% and YoY marketing’s were down 3.5%.

  • U.S. Cocoa grindings were 96,673 tons in the fourth quarter, down 2.2% YoY.

  • Sugar is expected to post its fourth consecutive production shortage in 2006-2007, and Dow-Jones Newswire said that Brazil's sugar crop is in need of rain.
Q&A | Wireless pioneer looks to the future
At 72, Irwin Mark Jacobs knows more about cellphones than any teen whiz kid ever will.
Shipping Rates for Coal, Ore Fall to Five-Month Low on Supply
The cost of shipping commodities such as iron ore and coal fell to its lowest in more than five months because of a buildup of vessels available for hire in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans.

Thursday, January 19, 2006

Why We Fight
Google Rebuffs Feds on Search Requests
Google Inc. is rebuffing the Bush administration's demand for a peek at what millions of people have been looking up on the Internet's leading search engine

Quick Overview

  • The number of U.S. workers filing initial unemployment claims fell 36,000 last week to 271,000, the lowest level since April 2000, the Labor Department said.

  • U.S. New housing starts fell 8.9% in December from November, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. For all of 2005, housing starts were up 5.6% and construction of single family homes hit a new record high of 1.714 million units.

  • The Philadelphia Federal Reserve said that its index of regional manufacturing dropped from 10.9 to 3.3 in January -- still a sign of growth.

  • The Federal Reserve has lifted interest rates to more proper levels amid solid growth, policy-makers said on Thursday in remarks that hint the U.S. central bank will only raise rates one or two more times.

  • The U.S. Department of Energy said that:
    Supplies of crude oil were up 2.7 million barrels to 321.4 million barrels.
    Supplies of unleaded gasoline were up 2.8 million barrels
    Supplies of heating oil were up 1.0 million barrels.
    Supplies of underground natural gas were down 46 billion cubic feet to 2.575 trillion cubic feet.

  • YoY Consumer prices in the Euro zone were up 2.2% in December.

  • YoY Argentina's economy grew 9.1 percent in November, faster than expected.

  • Brazil posted a record current account surplus of $14.19 billion for 2005, up from $11.71 billion in 2004.

Wednesday, January 18, 2006

43% of first-time home buyers put no money down
The median first-time home buyer scraped together a down payment of only 2% on a $150,000 home in 2005, the NAR found.

Quick Overview

  • U.S. Consumer prices fell 0.1% in December as energy prices declined, the Labor Department reported Wednesday.

  • The economy chugged ahead as the New Year opened with manufacturing picking up, employment improving and retail sales rising, the Federal Reserve reported Wednesday.

  • Foreign investors raised their holdings of U.S. assets by $89.1 billion in November.

  • The national average retail price of diesel fuel fell 3.6 cents to $2.449 a gallon, the Department of Energy reported Tuesday following its weekly survey.

  • The U.K. unemployment rate increased from 4.6% to 5.0%.

  • YoY Consumer prices in Canada were up 2.2% in December.

  • London inventories of copper are at 104,375 tons.
Gore Is Right Former vice president Al Gore gave what I believe to be the most important political speech in my lifetime, and the New York Times, "the newspaper of record," did not report it. Not even excerpts.

Tuesday, January 17, 2006

Shell may pull out of Niger Delta after 17 die in boat raid
US Constitution in Grave Danger
Can it be true that any president really has such powers under our Constitution? If the answer is "yes" then under the theory by which these acts are committed, are there any acts that can on their face be prohibited? If the President has the inherent authority to eavesdrop, imprison citizens on his own declaration, kidnap and torture, then what can't he do?

Quick Overview

  • U.S. Industrial production was up 0.6% in December.

  • U.S. Consumer confidence slid sharply in the latest week as prices of heating fuels and gasoline rose, ABC News and the Washington Post said on Tuesday in a weekly survey.

  • The New York Federal Reserve's index of regional manufacturing dropped from 26.28 to 20.12.

  • Canada's index of leading indicators increased 0.5% in December.

  • YoY consumer prices in the U.K. were up 2.0%

  • Japan's Cabinet Office said that a quarterly index of consumer confidence increased from 44.8 to 48.2, the highest reading in 14 years.

  • China's tax chief said on Tuesday the economy had grown by 9.8 percent in 2005, but comments by a senior commerce ministry official and analysts suggested the pace of expansion could slow this year, if only slightly.

  • Crude-oil prices charged to a three-and-a-half month high above $66 a barrel Tuesday amid growing unease about the possibility of sanctions against Iran, OPEC's second-largest producer, because of its nuclear ambitions.

  • The International Energy Agency said that they are expecting world oil demand to increase 2.2% in 2006, up from a 1.3% increase in 2005.

  • The International Coffee Organization increased its estimate of the world's 2006-2007 coffee crop from 120 to 121 million bags. They expect World consumption, at 119 million bags in 2006 and 120 million in 2007.

  • The Green Coffee Association said that December’s U.S. Coffee stocks were down 208,465 bags to 4.6 million bags.

Monday, January 16, 2006

Can farms yield fuel and feed the world?
Some experts scoff at the idea of corn shortages, but others say it is possible, at least to some degree. Wendy Wintersteen, dean of the College of Agriculture at Iowa State University, said that possibly as early as this summer, "we will have areas of the state we would call corn-deficient," because there will not be enough for livestock feed as well as ethanol plants

Sunday, January 15, 2006

Quick Overview

  • U.S. Producer prices were up 0.9% in December and up 5.4% YoY. Excluding food and energy costs, prices were up 0.1% in December.

  • U.S. retail sales were up 0.7% in December and up 7.3% in 05

  • Japan's machinery orders were up 2.3% in November.

  • YoY Canada's new vehicle sales were up 3.1% in November

  • Dow-Jones Newswires reported the harvest at U.S. Sugar Corporation will be down 25% this year, because of Hurricane Wilma and last weekend's freeze.

  • China's foreign exchange reserves jumped $49.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 2005 to a record $818.9 billion.

  • China's government said that they imported 5.3% less oil in 2005, thanks to conservation efforts.

  • YoY Mexican gross fixed investment, a measure of spending on machinery, equipment and construction, rose 7.3 percent in October.

Thursday, January 12, 2006

Opec nations ‘set for record oil revenues’
It’s just been a phenomenal transfer of wealth from consuming to producing nations,” said Francisco Blanch, analyst at Merrill Lynch.

Quick Overview

  • U.S. jobless claims were up 17,000 last week to 309,000

  • The U.S. trade gap shrank more than expected in November. The gap narrowed to $64.2 billion during the month from a record $68.1 billion in October, the Commerce Department reported in Washington

  • The unemployment rate in Australia was unchanged in December at 5.1%

  • Crude oil approached a three-month high Thursday, approaching $65 a barrel, in part on concerns about Iranian oil.

  • Minnesota officials are giving the state’s biodiesel industry another month to fix problems with the fuel that led to clogged fuel filters this winter, the Associated Press reported Thursday.

  • The USDA's 2005-2006 U.S. ending stocks estimate for:
    Corn was increased from 2.419 to 2.426 billion bushels.
    Soybeans were increased from 405 to 505 million bushels.
    Wheat was increased from 530 to 542 million bushels.
    Sugar was reduced from 1.395 to 1.320 million tons.
    Cotton remained at 6.90 million bales.

  • The USDA's soybean production estimate for Argentina and Brazil remained at 3.64 billion bushels.

  • The USDA said that 41.37 million acres of winter wheat were planted last fall, up 2% YoY -- less than expected.

  • Europe's cocoa grindings totaled 301,742 tons in the fourth quarter of 2005, up 4.7% YoY.

  • The USDA reduced its estimate of Florida's 2005-2006 orange crop from 162 to 158 million boxes. The estimated juice yield was unchanged at 1.55 gallons a box at 42.0 degrees Brix.

  • Inflation in Brazil slowed in 2005 for the fourth year in a row.

Wednesday, January 11, 2006

Report: Iraq war costs could top $2 trillion

Quick Overview

  • YoY Mexican industrial production rose 3 percent in November.

  • An index of leading indicators for Japan dropped from 81.8 to 60.0 in November

  • A persistent fall in Japanese bank lending slowed in December to its smallest decline in nearly five years, a bright sign for business conditions because of a stronger economy and improvement in banks' financial condition.

  • The U.S. Department of Energy said that:
    Supplies of crude oil were down 2.9 million barrels to 318.7 million barrels.
    Supplies of unleaded gasoline were up 4.5 million barrels
    Supplies of heating oil were up 1.0 million barrels.
Drier, Tainted Nevada May Be Legacy of Gold Rush The costs - to Nevada, its neighbors and even to the rest of the country - are only now coming into focus as diminishing ores foreshadow gold mining's eventual demise and a more urbanized West begins to express concerns over water shortages and mining's other legacies.

Tuesday, January 10, 2006

U.S. can open private mail in terrorism fight
"It was a big surprise," Goodman told Reuters. "The public should know that this is being done. Nobody whom I know had any idea that this was going on. And as far as I know, it's never been announced. It's never been revealed that this is being done."