Thursday, September 08, 2005

U.N. Report Cites U.S. and Japan as the 'Least Generous Donors'
While crediting the United States with being the world's largest donor, the report points out that among the world's richest countries, America is second to last in aid as a portion of its national income, with Italy bringing up the rear. Japan was third from the bottom. Aid per capita from donors ranges from more than $200 in Sweden to $51 in the United States and $37 in Italy.
Seeking Oil in Troubled Waters
Deputy Secretary of State, Robert Zoellick has warned that Beijing's ties with 'troublesome' states such as Burma and Zimbabwe, were ''going to have repercussions elsewhere'' and the Chinese would have to decide if they wanted to pay the price.
Is FEMA Ready For Bay Area Earthquake?
We've never been able to get that message through to the Department of Homeland Security. The funding has systematically gone into terrorism and away from natural disasters," she said.

In fact, she says in the West Coast region -- covering the Bay Area -- the number of federal specialists dealing with earthquakes is a simple number: just one.

Quick Overview

  • The U.S. Department of Energy said that:
    Supplies of crude oil were down 6.4 million barrels to 315.0 million barrels.
    Supplies of unleaded gasoline were down 4.3 million barrels
    Heating oil supplies were up 500,000 barrels.
    Refineries were running at 86.8% of capacity last week.
    Crude oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve remained unchanged at 700.5 million barrels.
    Underground supplies of natural gas were up 36 billion cubic feet last week to 2.669 trillion cubic feet. Supplies are now down 3% from a year ago.

  • U.S. jobless claims were down 1,000 last week to 319,000. Job losses due to Hurricane Katrina were estimated at 10,000.

  • U.S. wholesale sales were up 0.5% in July while inventories were down 0.1%.

  • Today's USDA Drought Monitor shows extreme drought conditions hanging on in northern Illinois and southwest Arkansas.

  • Japans index of coincident economic indicators was at 22.2% in July, an sign of contraction. Bank of Japan Governor Toshihiko Fukui said on Thursday the BOJ would need to make sure deflation was well and truly beaten before scrapping its ultra-easy monetary policy, and he appeared to leave the door open to leaving rates at zero even once the policy was abandoned.

  • The unemployment rate in Australia remained at 5.0% in August, the lowest in 29 years.

Tuesday, September 06, 2005

We are away - updates resume Friday, September 09, 2005

Monday, September 05, 2005

Experts: Too many people in nature's way
The expanding U.S. population "has migrated to hazard-prone areas — to Florida, the Atlantic and Gulf coasts, particularly barrier islands, to California :(

They cite examples of poorer nations that in ways do a better job than the rich:
No one was reported killed when Ivan struck Cuba in 2004, its worst hurricane in 50 years and a storm that, after weakening, killed 25 people in the United States
Oil
U.S. Refineries are struggling back. On Monday crude oil flows improved enough to allow 10 refineries in the Gulf Coast and Midwest to climb back up to full capacity. However four Gulf Coast refineries look to remain shut affecting some 5% of U.S. capacity.
Flood horrors the US can't hide

Perhaps now, following the disaster on the Gulf coast, the people of the US will wake up to the fact the current administration is not and never has been primarily concerned with the welfare of its citizens ..

..I'm sorry Bush had to cut his vacation short. But at least he got past war protester mom Cindy Sheehan without getting noticed. I'm really angry.

Sunday, September 04, 2005

While Bush fiddles, New Orleans dies

With the water coming from the sky and the bottom of the sea, driving with such ferocity that a major American city, New Orleans, followed its face into the water, George W. Bush was at North Island in Coronado, Calif., speaking to a blindingly white audience of 9,000 sailors in uniform..

..Friday, showing up on the fifth day of a national tragedy, Bush made a little humorous aside about the times he was in New Orleans celebrating too much. Beautiful! If he tried to walk fifty yards he could have tripped over somebody's dead black grandmother under a blanket


"We need food and water and they sent us men with guns" : Katrina survivor

Saturday, September 03, 2005


United States of Shame It would be one thing if President Bush and his inner circle - Dick Cheney was vacationing in Wyoming; Condi Rice was shoe shopping at Ferragamo's on Fifth Avenue and attended "Spamalot" before bloggers chased her back to Washington; and Andy Card was off in Maine - lacked empathy but could get the job done. But it is a chilling lack of empathy combined with a stunning lack of efficiency that could make this administration implode


"The care of human life and happiness, and not their destruction, is the first and only object of good government": Thomas Jefferson:



Superdome Evacuations Temporarily Halted

At one point Friday, the evacuation was interrupted briefly when school buses pulled up so some 700 guests and employees from the Hyatt Hotel could move to the head of the evacuation line — much to the amazement of those who had been crammed in the Superdome since last Sunday.

"How does this work? They (are) clean, they are dry, they get out ahead of us?" exclaimed Howard Blue, 22, who tried to get in their line. The National Guard blocked him as other guardsmen helped the well-dressed guests with their luggage.

Friday, September 02, 2005

Chart of the day


The personal saving rate is now a negative 0.6%
Harder they fall: Sydney's biggest housing slump
With home prices in the city still about seven times the average annual wage - well above historic ratios of five times typical pay - economists are predicting more falls over the next five years.

Quick Overview

  • Employers added 169,000 workers to payrolls in August and the unemployment rate fell to 4.9% from 5% in July, the Labor Department said Friday.

Thursday, September 01, 2005

Disaster scenario for refining
a sizable proportion of gulf production has been shut down, including 95 per cent of oil and 88 per cent of natural gas, or 1.43 million barrels a day of oil and 8.8 billion cubic feet a day of gas. That represents about 20 per cent of the United States' oil production and a quarter of natural gas output.
No one can say they didn't see it coming
In 2001, FEMA warned that a hurricane striking New Orleans was one of the three most likely disasters in the U.S. ..

Quick Overview

  • Wholesale gasoline prices continued to rise because Hurricane Katrina, and retail outlets in many states already were feeling a supply pinch and raising prices well above $3 a gallon, news services reported Thursday.

  • The Department of Energy said that underground natural gas supplies were up 58 billion cubic feet last week to 2.633 trillion cubic feet. YoY supplies are down 2% . This before Katrina.

  • The U.S. Minerals Management Service said today that 90% of oil production and 79% of natural gas production is still down in the Gulf of Mexico.

  • Bloomberg.com is reporting that eight refineries are closed due to Hurricane Katrina and that it will may be a month or more before they are running again. Yesterday, the U.S. Department of Energy said that some refineries may not work again for several months.

  • U.S. Jobless claims were up 3,000 to 320,000 last week.

  • Personal spending jumped 1% in July as consumers continued to take advantage of automakers’ discounts, the Commerce Department reported Thursday.

  • The Institute for Supply Management said Thursday that its manufacturing index slowed in August to 53.6 from 56.6 in July.

  • U.S. Construction spending held steady at a $1.099 trillion annual rate in July, stemming four straight monthly declines, the Commerce Department said Thursday. Lumber was up it's $10 limit.

  • Brazil's economy grew at 3.9 percent from a year earlier more than expected.

  • The European Central Bank kept it’s key interest rate unchanged at 2.0% and lessened its growth estimates for the Euro zone from 1.4% to 1.3% in 2005 and from 2.0% to 1.8% in 2006.

Wednesday, August 31, 2005


Fed's Santomero: Economy will survive Katrina
Santomero said that he still thinks the U.S. economy will grow at a 3.5% to 4% rate this year. He said the economy faces challenges from housing, high oil prices and the effects of the hurricane.
Ozone Layer Has Stopped Shrinking, U.S. Study Finds
An analysis of satellite records and surface monitoring instruments shows the ozone layer has grown a bit thicker in some parts of the world..
Bush: U.S. Must Protect Iraq From Terror
President Bush on Tuesday answered growing anti-war protests with a fresh reason for American troops to continue fighting in Iraq: protection of the country's vast oil fields that he said would otherwise fall under the control of terrorist extremists.

Quick Overview

  • Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman said Wednesday the Bush administration has decided to release oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help refiners meet any shortfalls because of Hurricane Katrina, news services reported.

  • The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 3.3% in the second quarter, down from 3.8% in the first quarter, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday.

  • Manufacturing growth in the Chicago unexpectedly contracted from 63.5 to 49.2 in August, its first contraction in more than two years, the National Association of Purchasing Management-Chicago said in its monthly report issued Wednesday.

  • The U.S. Department of Energy said that:
  • Crude oil supplies were down 1.5 million barrels last week to 321.4 million barrels.
  • Supplies of unleaded gasoline were down 500,000 barrels
  • Heating oil supplies were up 1.7 million barrels.

  • Japans Industrial production was down 1.1%.

  • Canada's GDP was up 0.2% in June and up 2.7% from a year ago.

  • Germany's unemployment rate improved in August from 11.5% to 11.4% -- 4.728 million people are out of work.

  • The increase in second quarter GDP in the Euro zone was revised down from 1.2% to 1.1% from a year ago.

Tuesday, August 30, 2005

When the levee breaks
It appears that the money has been moved in the president’s budget to handle homeland security and the war in Iraq, and I suppose that’s the price we pay. Nobody locally is happy that the levees can’t be finished, and we are doing everything we can to make the case that this is a security issue for us.
Nagin: Entire City Will Soon Be Underwater
New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin is "very upset" that an attempt to fix the breach in the levee at the 17th Street canal has failed, and he said the challenges that the city is facing have "escalated to another level."...Nagin said the sandbagging was scheduled for midday, but the Blackhawk helicopters needed to help did not show up. He said the sandbags were ready and all the helicopter had to do was "show up."

Quick Overview

  • The after-effects of Hurricane Katrina sent crude oil prices to a new record near $71 a barrel Tuesday as fuel traders braced for damage assessments of the storm on oil and gas rigs and refineries in the Gulf of Mexico and on the Gulf Coast, news services reported.

  • Estimates of Hurricane Katrina’s economic damage were still coming in Tuesday, and ranged from $9 billion to as high as $26 billion, news services reported.


  • Surging crude oil prices led to record demand for ethanol (Sugar, Corn, etc. ?) in June, according to data released by the U.S. Energy Information administration. The U.S. production of ethanol reached a record 343 million gallons, or 249,000 barrels per day in June, higher than the previous record of 245,000 set in February of this year.



  • The number of orders placed with U.S. factories fell 1.9% in July to $387.8 billion, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday..

  • The Conference Board said that its consumer confidence index increased from 103.6 to 105.6 in August, stronger than expected.

  • Retail sales in the U.K. showed another decline for the sixth consecutive month.

  • Household spending in Japan was down 3.5% in July. Retail sales in July were down 2.2% and the unemployment rate rose from 4.2% to 4.4%.

  • The U.S. poverty rate rose in 2004 for the fourth year in a row, driven by an increase in poor whites, the government said today.

  • Surface trade among the U.S., Canada and Mexico rose 7.2% in June to $59.4 billion from a year earlier, the Department of Transportation reported.

  • Dow Jones Newswires said that the coffee warehouses in New Orleans are under two feet of water, however it’s not clear how much actual damage there is.

Monday, August 29, 2005

Quick Overview

  • Crude oil prices jumped to over $70 a barrel for the first time in overnight trading in response to Hurricane Katrina, which blew through the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend and made landfall into Louisiana and Mississippi early Monday. However many of this morning's price moves did not survive the day.

  • An important natural-gas pipeline hub in Louisiana reopened Monday after closing due to Hurricane Katrina. The Henry Hub was closed Sunday. Returning personnel found no significant damage, owner and operator Sabine Pipe Line LLC said on its site Monday.

  • The Bush administration said it would consider loaning crude oil from the government's emergency stockpile, if requested by U.S. refiners facing delayed shipments due to the Hurricane.

  • With the peak shipping season in full force, intermodal container traffic for the week ended Aug. 20 was the highest week ever on record, the Association of American Railroads said.

  • The USDA's good to excellent crop rating for:
    Corn was 52%, up from 50% a week ago.
    Soybeans were 53%, up from 52% a week ago.
    Cotton was 65%, up from 63% a week ago.

  • Lumber closed up its $10 daily limit to $280.20 with many expecting bigger lumber demand after Hurricane Katrina.

  • GDP in the Philippines was up 1.4% in the second quarter and up 4.8% YoY.
On the Internet, Nobody Knows You're a Bot
CptPokr is a robot. Unlike the other icons at the table, there is no human placing his bets and playing his cards. He is controlled by WinHoldEm, the first commercially available autoplaying poker software. Seat him at the table and he will apply strategy gleaned from decades of research. While carbon-based players munch Ding Dongs, yawn, guzzle beer, reply to email, take phone calls, and chat on IM, CptPokr (a pseudonym) is running the numbers so it will know, statistically, when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em.

Saturday, August 27, 2005

Where has all the money gone?
Paul Bremer, the American pro-consul in Baghdad until June last year, kept a slush fund of nearly $600 million cash for which there is no paperwork: $200 million of this was kept in a room in one of Saddam’s former palaces, and the US soldier in charge used to keep the key to the room in his backpack, which he left on his desk when he popped out for lunch.

Friday, August 26, 2005

Foreign markets leave U.S. in the dust
Zero in on a major city with a stock exchange: Paris. Tokyo. Toronto. Sydney.
Not to be overlooked: Czech Republic, Austria, Denmark, Mexico, Peru, Turkey, Sri Lanka, Russia, and Slovakia.

Quick Overview

  • Greenspan on Friday cautioned Americans against thinking the value of their homes and other investments will only go higher, saying "history has not dealt kindly" with that kind of optimism.

  • The University of Michigan’s index of consumer sentiment dropped from 92.8 to 89.1 in August – weaker

  • Mexico's central bank pushed interest rates lower on Friday for the first time in over three years to give the soft economy a boost, now that inflation is under control. YoY

  • Consumer prices in Canada were up 2.0% in July - less than expected.

  • GDP in the U.K. increased 0.5% in the second quarter and 1.8% YoY.

  • Japans consumer prices were down 0.1% in July and down 0.3% YoY.

  • Hong Kong's GDP was up 3% in the second quarter and up 6.8% YoY..
Anti-Aging Hormone" Found in Mice; May Help Humans Researchers have dramatically increased the life spans of mice by up to 30 percent by genetically engineering them to overproduce a protein called klotho. The gene regulates production of klotho protein, which the study team says works like an anti-aging hormone. Kotho is involved in the suppression of insulin-signaling pathways -- a process...