Saturday, September 26, 2020

  • The Chinese Containerized Freight Index is making a 5 year high at 1007.44





Friday, September 25, 2020

 

  • With all this stimulus (Worldwide), will inflation be back in force if and when the economy is back on its feet?
  • Buyers of Treasury Inflation Protected Securities appear to think so. (Weekly chart)

 

Fed Total  Assets:


Thursday, September 24, 2020

 Quick Overview is up to date





 

  • New home sales rose 4.8% to a 1.011-million unit pace. This marks the first time since November 2006 that the pace of new home sales topped 1-million units and is the strongest pace since September 2006. Moreover, sales were revised sharply higher for the prior month and have averaged a 939,000- unit pace over the past three months.”

 


  • Fed's Bullard: Inflation could rise to 2% as soon as next year. He also prognosticated that  the “U.S. economy within reach of full recovery this year”.
  • Fed's Kaplan forecasts Q3 GDP to expand 30% annualized and for the unemployment rate to end the year at 7.5%.

 

  • Recent speculation has it that the Fed may not print money and cut rates with quite the eager abandon that had been expected. This wouldn’t be good news for the U.S. economy, as it would raise rates, and make gold and risk assets - less popular..

 

  • Can a fiscal stimulus be thrashed out relatively soon? Nope -  doesn’t look like it.

 

  • Vaccine optimism is slowly fading too.  Even if we get a positive vaccine approved over the next couple of months, the forecasts from Good Judgement Inc. has declined from 70% to 52% that 25-million people will be inoculated before the winter wave is over. 

 

  • (Reuters) - The World Bank’s private-sector arm has introduced new climate change conditions for its investments in commercial banks to encourage the lenders to wind down support for coal projects in Africa and Asia. The International Finance Corporation (IFC), which owns equity stakes in many large commercial banks in emerging markets, hopes the restrictions will trigger other investors to exit the coal sector.

 


  • CME Group CME and Nasdaq NDAQ announced a plan to launch the Nasdaq Veles California WaterIndex futures contract, which will have a settlement price based on its namesake index, late in the fourth quarter of this year, pending a regulatory review.
  • The contract will allow investors to hedge price risks in the spot water market and better manage price swings, says Tim McCourt, CME Group’s global head of equity products and alternative investments.



  • The Bank of Mexico,  unanimously agreed to trim the benchmark rate by 0.25 basis points to 4.25%, for what was its 11th consecutive cut since August 2019.



Tuesday, September 22, 2020

  •  Bloomberg: Less than an hour after U.S. President Donald Trump took to the virtual floor of the United Nations General Assembly and slammed China for its environmental record, China’s President Xi Jinping stunned the climate community by pledging that it would become carbon neutral by 2060. The two nearly back-to-back speeches provided a marked and powerful contrast. There are still many questions to be answered about the Chinese plan — most importantly how the country will define carbon neutrality. But the bare fact that China, by far the world's biggest source of greenhouse gas emissions, has set out a net-zero pledge ahead of the U.S. shows how hard Beijing is striving to put itself at the center of global politics and the economic shift to clean energy — something Washington has been unwilling to do.

  •  The City Council of Ann Arbor, Michigan voted unanimously to decriminalize all psychedelic plants and fungi on Monday night. It’s an expansive move that will allow banned substances including ayahuasca, peyote, mescaline, and psilocybin, better known as “magic mushrooms,” in the area — and one that, like the decriminalization of cannabis in a growing number of areas, could potentially spark a showdown with federal authorities.

  •  AT&T and Microsoft are teaming up to enable enterprises to  connectivity across the globe. As part of the effort, AT&T is working with Microsoft to deliver an integrated IoT solution with Azure Sphere. This AT&T powered guardian device with Azure Sphere will help businesses transform their operations quickly through massive IoT deployments at scale.
  • The guardian device is easy to install and provides an end-to-end solution for connecting machines and equipment to the cloud, bypassing the need for public Internet.

  • If you like dividends, ATT has a dividend yield of 7.3% as of today.. However the stock has not done much over the last 20 years. But then, seamlessly connect machines and equipment to the cloud with highly secure network.. well perhaps? And who knows, perchance  they'll even manage to get HBO Max onto Roku. 


  • Regarding the other half, Microsoft, they seem to know what they are doing (most of the time.)


  • MSFT on  the above Log scale looks a bit more realistic.