Monday, September 21, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. index of leading indicators rose 0.6% in August

  • The USDA said there were 9.882 million head of cattle on feed as of September 1st, down 1.2% YoY

  • The USDA said there were 492,529 acres of commercial orange trees in Florida, down 1% YoY

Friday, September 18, 2009

Quick Overview

  • Canada’s wholesale sales rose 2.8% in July to C$41.7 billion

  • China buys another 6.7 million bushels of US soybeans. Analyst says recent frost cut 110 mln bu from China's soy crop.

Thursday, September 17, 2009


New building cancellations to top 40% of current dry bulk orderbook says National Bank of Greece
But, new building cancellations will reach about 40% of the total orderbook sayd NBG, which means that 100 million dwt will never reach the water. This, coupled with an estimated 70 million dwt of scrapping of older tonnage, could allow for a gradual recovery of dry bulk usage, close to the ten year average of 87% of available hiring days. Should this scenario materialize, dry bulk rates will drop below 2,000 points during 2010 and recover higher than 3,000 points during 2011, which could be deemed as very satisfactory, should one consider the current imbalance in the market.

Quick Overview

  • U.S. housing starts rose 1.5% from July's pace

  • U.S. jobless claims fell 12,000 last week to 545,000

  • The Philadelphia Federal Reserve's regional index of manufacturing rose from 4.2 to 14.1

  • Construction output in the EU fell 1.1% MoM and 11.1% YoY

  • FedEx's CEO said he sees "encouraging signs" that the recession has ended

  • University of Illinois economists project net farm operator returns for 2009 at minus $8 per acre for corn and minus $15 per acre for soybeans, the first negative returns for the decades beginning 1990 and 2000.

  • Maersk Line has announced a rate increases on its eastern Mediterranean and Black Sea services to west Africa of US$200 per TEU and $360 per FEU for both dry and reefer containers from October 1.

  • Informa estimates 2010-11 US Winter Wheat area At 41.6M acres, down from 43.4 million in 2009-10

Wednesday, September 16, 2009


Kinross Says Gold Industry Faces Reserve Crisis
(Bloomberg) -- Kinross Gold Corp., Canada’s third- largest producer of the precious metal, said the gold industry is facing a crisis of declining reserves as investor demand outpaces supply.

“We may be in the midst of a perfect storm in terms of price and industry dynamics,” Tye Burt, chief executive officer of the Toronto-based company, said at a conference in Denver today. “Globally production has been in decline since the peak of 81 million ounces in 2001 to 77 million ounces last year, and we see that decline continuing long term.”

Quick Overview

  • U.S . Industrial production rose 0.8% in August -- better than expected.

  • U.S. Capacity utilization was at 69.6% -- down from 77.6% YoY.

  • MoM the U.K. unemployment rate rose to 7.9% from 7.8%

  • YoY Consumer prices in the EU rose 0.6% in August

  • The U.S. Department of Energy said:
    Supplies of crude oil fell 4.7 million barrels to 332.8 million barrels
    Supplies of gasoline rose 500,000 barrels
    Supplies of heating oil rose 200,000 barrels
    Refinery use fell from 87.2% to 86.9%.
    Gasoline demand rose 3.5% YoY
    Distillate demand fell 6.8% YoY

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Quick Overview

  • (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the worst U.S. recession since the 1930s has probably ended, while warning that growth may not be strong enough to quickly reduce the unemployment rate.

  • US retail sales rose 2.7% in August better than expected and helped by the car rebate program.

  • The New York Federal Reserve’s regional index of manufacturing rose from 12.08 to 18.88 in September

  • YoY U.K. consumer prices rose 1.6% in August

  • Volkswagen has unveiled its answer to the recession at The Frankfurt Motor Show the L1 a 180 mile per gallon tandem two-seater hybrid car.

  • Soybean/Corn futures are supported by frost threats this morning

  • (FT) Central banks are set to become net buyers of gold this year for the first time since 1998, according to GFMS, the metals consultancy.

Monday, September 14, 2009

Quick Overview

  • China called for talks over its trade quarrel with the U.S. in a sign the dispute may be containable.

  • EU industrial production fell 0.2% in July and 14.7% YoY

  • The ICO’s August coffee report kept its estimate of 2008-2009 world production at 127 million bags, but raised its estimate of 2008 world consumption from 128.4 to 130.0 million bags.

Saturday, September 12, 2009

A 20-year-old Styrian (Austria) was slapped with a 50 Euros fine when he farted as he talked to cops.

Lehman is a footnote in the great East-West globalisation crisis
As my colleague Jeremy Warner puts it, Lehman no more caused the economic convulsions of the last year than the assassination of an Austrian prince caused the First World War. There was the little matter of a rising Germany then, and a rising China now. Both scrambled the international system, albeit in different ways.

China Government ‘Strongly Opposes’ U.S. Tire Tariff Imposition
“By taking this unprecedented action, the Obama administration is now at odds with its own public statements about refraining from increasing tariffs,” Vic DeIorio, executive vice president of GITI Tire in the U.S., said in a statement. “This decision will cost many more American jobs than it will create.”

Friday, September 11, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. wholesale sales rose 0.5% in July

  • U.S. Inventories fell 1.4% in July

  • The University of Michigan's index of consumer sentiment rose from 65.7 to 70.2 in September

  • YoY China's industrial Production rose 12.3%

  • YoY India’s industrial production rose 6.8%.

  • The USDA's 2009-2010 U.S. ending stocks estimate for:
    Corn was raised from 1.621 to 1.635 billion bushels.
    Soybeans were raised from 210 to 220 million bushels.
    Wheat unchanged at 743 million bushels.
    Sugar was raised from 709,000 to 844,000 tons.
    Cotton unchanged at 5.6 million bales.

  • The USDA's 2009-2010 world ending stocks estimate for:
    Corn was lowered from 141 to 139 million tons.
    Soybeans were raised from 50.3 to 50.5 million tons.
    Wheat was raised from 184 to 187 million tons.
    Cotton was reduced from 57 to 56 million tons.

  • The USDA lowered the estimate of China's 2009-2010 corn crop from 162.5 to 160.0 million tons because of draught






USDA Report

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. jobless claims fell 26,000 last week to 550,000 -- less than expected.

  • U.S. exports rose $2.7 billion in July while imports rose $7.2 billion.

  • (Reuters) - China will unswervingly apply its policy mix of massive government spending and loose money because its economic recovery remains fragile, Premier Wen Jiabao said.

  • Australia's unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.8% in August,

  • Canada’s exports rose 3.3% in July while imports rose 8.3%.

  • UK kept interest rate unchanged at 0.50%, as expected.

  • The U.S. Department of Energy said:
    Supplies of crude oil fell 5.9 million barrels last week to 337.5 million barrels.
    Supplies of gasoline rose 2.1 million barrels
    Supplies of heating oil rose 600,000 barrels.
    Refinery use was 87.2% of capacity.
    Gasoline demand rose 2.2% YoY
    Distillate demand fell 5.6% YoY.



  • Japan's machinery orders fell 9.3% in July

  • Swine flu can infect cells deeper in the lungs than seasonal flu, making people who catch it more likely to develop serious complications, research suggests.

Wednesday, September 09, 2009

Quick Overview

  • The Mortgage Bankers Association said that its index of U.S. mortgage applications rose 17% last week

  • Canada's housing starts rose 12% in August

  • Consumer confidence in the U.K. rose from 61 to 63 in August

Tuesday, September 08, 2009


The Great Cop-Out
… The banks only know for sure whether they have made a profit on a loan, transaction or investment when they get the capital back. That can take 30 years.”

Quick Overview

  • U.K. manufacturing output rose 0.9% in July.

  • Brazil's estimates the 2009-2010 coffee crop at 39 million bags, down from 46 million bags YoY.

  • Gold prices hit 1000 an ounce for the first time in more than six months.

Sunday, September 06, 2009


Does the world have the courage to deal with its debts?

CPI inflation has dropped to –2.2pc in Japan (a modern record), -2.1pc in the US, -1.8pc in China, -1.4pc in Spain, -0.7pc in France, and -0.6pc in Germany.

Friday, September 04, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. unemployment rate rose from 9.4% to 9.7% -- the number was a little less than expected.

  • Canada unemployment rate rose from 8.6% to 8.7% in August --better than expected.

Thursday, September 03, 2009


Indian Sugar Fears Rain, Frost After Monsoon Heat
India's cane crop, which started small after years of cheap government purchase prices and withered further this summer by poor rain, faces two more hurdles that could yet trigger another flurry of imports, extending a rally that has doubled sugar prices this year to a 28-year high.

Quick Overview

  • The U.S. Institute of Supply Management's index of services rose from 46.4 to 48.4 in August

  • U.S. jobless claims fell 4,000 last week to 570,000

  • Services index in the U.K. rose from 53.2 to 54.1 in August

  • Services index in Australia rose from 44.1 to 48.0 in August

  • Retail sales in the EU rose 0.2% in July.

  • Purchasing Managers Index in the EU rose from 50.0 to 50.4 in August

  • Informa's September guess:
  • 13.010 billion bushels for corn
  • 3.305 billion for beans
  • corn yield of 162.6 bushels per acre
  • bean yield of 43.1.

  • In August the USDA estimated:
  • corn crop at 12.761 billion with a yield of 159.5
  • bean crop of 3.199 billion with a 41.7 yield.

  • Weather risk says the new run of the 12z gfs weather model is suggesting a wide spread frost sept. 17,18,19 time period .

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. factory orders rose 1.3%.

  • YoY U.S. non-farm productivity rose 1.9% in Q2. The number of hours worked fell 7.2% and unit labor costs fell 1.2%.

  • U.S. mortgage applications fell 2.2% last week.

  • GDP in the EU fell 0.2% in Q2

  • Producer prices in the EU fell 1.0% MoM and 8.4% YoY

  • The U.S. Department of Energy said:
    Supplies of crude oil fell 400,000 barrels to 343.4 million barrels.
    Supplies of gasoline fell 3.0 million barrels to 205.1 million barrels
    Supplies of heating oil are unchanged..
    Refinery use rose from 84.1% to 87.2%.
    Gasoline demand rose 0.5%
    Distillate demand fell 7.3%

  • BP the U.K. energy giant said it has made a "giant" oil discovery in a deep well drilled in U.S. waters in the Gulf of Mexico.

  • The shortfall in Russia's grain production due to drought is expected to amount to 13 million tons this year, Agriculture Minister Yelena Skrynnik said.


Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Quick Overview

  • The Institute of Supply Management's manufacturing index rose from 48.9 to 52.9 in August

  • The National Association of Realtor's index of pending home sales rose 3.2% in July and 12% YoY

  • U.S. construction spending fell 0.2% MoM and 10.5% YoY.

  • EU unemployment -rose from 8.9% to 9.0% in July

  • U.K. manufacturing fell from 50.2 to 49.7 in August

  • India may remove the limit of 1 million metric tons onwhite sugar imports to improve supply

  • Pakistan bought 75,000 tons of white sugar from Dubai for $638 a ton, including freight costs

Monday, August 31, 2009

Shipping Rates Seen Falling 50% on China, Fleet Size (Update1)
(Bloomberg) -- Just as global trade starts to recover, the shipping market is crashing for the second time in a year as China reduces raw-material imports and record numbers of new vessels set sail.

Quick Overview

  • Chicago Purchasing Managers' index rose from 43.4 to 50.0 in August

  • (WSJ) Fed and Treasury officials are scrambling to prevent the commercial-real-estate sector from delivering a roundhouse punch to the U.S. economy as it struggles to recover.

  • Japan's industrial production rose 1.9% in July

  • Canada’s GDP rose 0.1% in June

  • Consumer prices in the Euro area fell 0.2% in August

  • China will see its deficit of sugar reach 700,000 metric tons this year, the Shanghai Securities News reported. Sugar consumption in the country will reach 14 million tons this year, while supplies will be 13.2 million to 13.3 million tons, the newspaper said.

  • Disney is buying Marvel Entertainment in a deal valued at $4 billion

  • (Skilling) It's official!Meteorological Summer 2009 (June-August) finishes the cloudiest in 115 yrs of records: Just 53% its possible sun; normal is 67

Sunday, August 30, 2009


Brazil ready to infringe US drug patents
Brazil is preparing to infringe patents on US pharmaceutical products, in retaliation against subsidies for US cotton farmers, according to the Brazilian press.
The World Trade Organisation is expected to rule on Monday that Brazil can contravene the drug patents, say the reports.

Friday, August 28, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. personal incomes were unchanged in July

  • The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index fell from 66.0 to 65.7 in August

  • Japan's unemployment rate rose from 5.4% to 5.7% in July.

  • Japan’s consumer prices fell 2.2% in July

  • Japan’s July household spending fell -2.0% (-0.5% expected)

  • U.K.'s GDP fell 0.7% in Q2 and 5.5% YoY

  • EU consumer confidence rose from 76 to 80.6 in August.

  • (Bloomberg) -- Sugar-cane output in Brazil is declining after rains this month in parts of the Center South, the world’s biggest producing region, were at their most severe in more than six decades, miller Maurilio Biagi Filho said.

Can the soufflé really rise again?

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. GDP fell 0.25% in Q2 and 3.9% YoY -- better than expected.

  • U.S. jobless claims fell 10,000 last week to 570,000 -- better than expected.

  • (WSJ) The FDIC's insurance fund fell to just $10.4 billion at the end of June, the lowest since the savings and loan crisis, as the banking industry continues to struggle with souring loans.

  • U.K.'s business investment fell 10% in Q2 and down 18% YoY.

  • (Farm Futures Bryce Knorr)... the latest two-week American model run shows a dramatic shift, with a major cold front working through the Dakotas and Nebraska as far south as Central Illinois Sept. 10 and 11, which could set up the season's first real frost scare.

  • Shipping Co’s hiking rates:
    Unired Arab Shipping Company announced it is increasing rates from the Far East to Arabian Gulf and Indian subcontinent ports.
    Emirates shipping line has announced rate increases on cargo moving between Far East to the Middle East.
    Maersk hikes rates on full range of intra-America trades. Hapag-Lloyd hikes rates on wide range of secondary trades.
    Mitsui OSK Line is implementing a general rate increase on its Europe-South Africa trade.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. durable goods orders rose 4.9% in July -- best gain in two years.

  • Builders had 271,000 houses on the market last month, down 35 percent from July 2008 and the fewest since March 1993. It would take 7.5 months to sell all homes at the current sales pace, the shortest time since April 2007.

  • YoY Japan's exports fell 36.5% in July.

  • Japan’s August Small Business Confidence rose to 41.8 from 41.1 in July

  • Germany’s July Import Price Index fell -0.9% MoM

  • Business confidence in Germany rose from 87.5 to 90.5 in August

  • The U.S. Department of Energy said:
    Supplies of crude oil rose 200,000 barrels to 343.8 million barrels.
    Supplies of gasoline fell 1.7 million barrels
    Supplies of heating oil rose 1.1 million barrels.
    Refinery use rose from 84.0% to 84.1% of capacity.
    Gasoline demand fell 0.3% YoY
    Distillate demand fell 7.9% YoY.

  • Macquarie estimates Brazilian 2009-10 sugar production at 30.3 million metrictons, down from its previous expectation of between 32 million tons and 33million tons. India's 2009-10 sugar production estimate was revised down to 16million tons from the previous estimate of 17.5 million tons.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009


The troubling side of Ben Bernanke
Bill White, former chief economist at the Bank for International Settlements, said the error of the central banking fraternity over past 20 years has been to cut real interest rates ever lower to keep the game going. This has lured the world into a debt trap. The effect is to keep drawing prosperity from the future – until the future arrives.

Quick Overview

  • U.S. consumer confidence rose from 47.4 to 54.1 in August, better than expected.

  • U.S. June S&P/CaseShiller Composite-20 Home Price Index rose 1.4% MoM

  • (Bloomberg) -- India may have to ban corn exports for a second season to boost local supplies as the crop wilts under the driest monsoon in seven years, a lobby group for U.S. producers said.

  • The worldwide cocoa deficit will widen to 73,000 metric tons in the year ending Sept. 30, compared with 62,000 tons a year earlier, the International Cocoa Organization said.

Monday, August 24, 2009


World faces hi-tech crunch as China eyes ban on rare metal exports
“This isn’t about the China holding the world to ransom. They are saying we need these resources to develop our own economy and achieve energy efficiency, so go find your own supplies”, he said.

NASA Satellites Unlock Secret to Northern India's Vanishing Water
Using NASA satellite data, scientists have found that groundwater levels in northern India have been declining by as much as one foot per year over the past decade. Researchers concluded the loss is almost entirely due to human activity.

Quick Overview

  • Industrial new orders in the EU fell 0.4% MoM and down 24% YoY

  • Canada’s retail sales rose 1.0% MoM.

  • The USDA said there were 9.644 million head of cattle on feed as of August 1st, down 2.3% YoY

  • China's sugar imports in July rose to 132,982 metric tons from 21,910 tons last July.


  • China's wheat imports in July up sharply at 85,078 tons versus 373 tons a year ago.

  • China imported 160 mln bu of soybeans in July; up 25% YoY.

  • The drought situation in China's northeast appears to be worsening.

  • (TET) The rice yield growth in India at current rate is estimated at 1.18% and needs to be accelerated at 1.75% consistently for a decade, otherwise at 1.18% growth rate, India’s rice production would reach at levels of 108 million tons by 2020 against its projected requirement of 118 million tones.

  • Last month, which should have been the height of Mexico’s rainy season, was the second-driest July in at least 68 years, according to the National Water Commission, or Conagua.

Sunday, August 23, 2009


China powers ahead as it seizes the green energy crown from Europe
The Chinese trio of Suntech, Trina and Yingling all expect to be below 70 cents per watt by 2012, bringing the magical goal of "grid parity" with fossil fuels into grasp.

Friday, August 21, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. existing home sales rose 7.2% MoM -- the most since August of 2007

  • (WSJ) One in eight U.S. households with mortgages was in foreclosure or late on its mortgage payments in the second quarter.

  • Bernanke said that while prospects for a near-term return to growth "appear good," he isn't expecting a rapid economic recovery.

Thursday, August 20, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. jobless rose 15,000 to 576,000

  • The Philadelphia Fed regional index of manufacturing rose from -7.5 to +4.2 -- the best reading since November of 2007.

  • U.S. leading indicators rose 0.6% in July

  • Canada’s wholesale sales rose 0.6% in June

  • YoY U.K. Retail sales rose 3.3% in July

  • Switzerland's July Trade Balance out at 2.35B versus 1.50B in June.

  • Japan's July Convenience Store Sales fell -7.5% YoY versus -2.3% in June

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Quick Overview

  • U.S. mortgage applications rose 5.6% last week.

  • Canada’s consumer prices fell 0.9% YoY

  • Canada’s leading indicators rose 0.4%.

  • Construction output in the EU fell 3.3% MoM and down 14.1% YoY.

  • Germany’s July Producer Prices fell -1.5% MoM (-0.2% expected) YoY PP are
    7.8% lower in July, the steepest such fall since records began in 1949

  • The U.S. Department of Energy said:
    Supplies of crude oil fell 8.4 million barrels to 343.6 million barrels
    Supplies of gasoline fell 2.1 million barrels
    Supplies of heating oil fell 400,000 barrels.
    Refinery use rose from 83.5% to 84.0%
    Gasoline demand fell 0.1% YoY
    Distillate demand fell 9.1% YoY.

  • (Bloomberg) -- Pakistan, Asia’s third-largest user of sugar, needs to import as much as 1 million metric tons by December to meet a shortfall in domestic supplies, a trade body head said.

  • (FT) Demand for gold sank to a 5½-year low in the second quarter of 2009 after jewellery consumption dropped by more than one fifth and investment interest slowed as the threat of meltdown in the global financial system receded.

  • With development lagging, it's hard to believe that U.S. corn won't suffer losses from a frost, Freese-Notis Weather said.

  • (Bloomberg) -- UBS AG, Switzerland’s largest bank, will release information on 4,450 accounts to settle a U.S. lawsuit that sought names of American clients suspected of evading taxes.

  • The Commodity Futures Trading Commission said it had withdrawn a no-action letter that allowed a Deutsche Bank index fund to avoid speculative position limits in grain futures.

  • (Bloomberg) -- Commercial real estate values in the U.S. fell 27 percent in the year through June

Tuesday, August 18, 2009


There's no quick fix to the global economy's excess capacity
As a matter of strict fact, two- thirds of the global economy is already in “deflation-lite”. US prices fell 2.1pc in July year-on-year, the steepest drop since 1950. Import prices are down 7.3pc, even after stripping out energy. At almost every stage over the last year, in almost every country (except Britain), deflationary forces have proved stronger than expected.

Elsewhere, the CPI figures are: Ireland (-5.9), Thailand (-4.4), Taiwan (-2.3), Japan (-1.8), China (-1.8), Belgium (-1.7), Spain (-1.4), Malaysia (-1.4), Switzerland (-1.2), France (-0.7), Germany (-0.6), Canada (-0.3).

Quick Overview

  • U.S. housing starts fell -1.0% MoM and -46% YoY. But single-family building permits rose 5.8%.

  • U.K. consumer prices rose 1.8% in July.

  • Japan's July Nationwide Dept. Store Sales fell -11.7% vs. -8.8% prior

  • (ToI) With the glaciers on the Qinghai- Tibet Plateau receding at an alarming rate, North India could face the prospect of drought and water levels in major rivers like the Indus originating from Tibet could be hit in the long-run, a leading Chinese meteorologist has warned.

  • Standard Chartered said a severe drought in Chinas northern grain-producing regions of Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Jilin, Shanxi and Liaoning is potentially Bullish. These five areas account for about 30% of China's autumn grain output, mainly in corn, but also wheat and soy. The autumn crop is around 70% of China's total grain production

  • India's summer-sown rice output may fall by 10 millionmetric tons due to deficient monsoon rains, the federal farm minister saidWednesday.

Monday, August 17, 2009


Pension Funds Pare Stocks, Ignoring Economic Rebound (Update2)
Equities appreciated an average 12.91 percent a year from 1900 to 1999, while bonds returned 4.69 percent annually, according to the data from the London Business School and Credit Suisse. Since the start of the new century, bonds gained 6.36 percent, compared with a loss of 2.27 percent for shares.

Quick Overview

  • U.S. August Empire Manufacturing rose to 12.08 from -0.55 in July (3.00 expected)

  • Euro Zone’s June Trade Balance out at 1.0B (1.3B expected) and 1.1B in May

  • U.K. August House Prices fell -2.2% MoM.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Updates resume late Sunday the 16th

Quick Overview

  • U.S. retail sales fell 0.1% in July.

  • U.S. home foreclosures rose 7% MoM and 32% YoY

  • U.S. jobless claims rose 4,000 to 558,000.

  • France and Germany’s GDP grew by 0.3% in Q2.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009


RBS uber-bear issues fresh alert on global stock markets
When the finest minds in the business disagree so starkly, the rest of us can only shake our heads in confusion.

Quick Overview

  • The Fed kept funds rate unchanged at 0.125%

  • U.S. Exports rose $2.4 billion in June while imports rose $3.5 billion. Resulting in a trade deficit of $27.0 billion.

  • U.K.'s unemployment out at 7.8% up from 7.1%

  • Industrial production in the EU fell 0.2% MoM and 15.6% YoY.

  • The Bloomberg Professional Global Confidence Index jumped to 58.12 this month from 39.13 in July.

  • Cocoa exports from Nigeria, the world’s fourth-biggest producer of the commodity, fell 22% in June, the Lagos-based Federal Produce Inspection Service said.

  • Arrivals of cocoa beans from the Ivory Coast for the first 45 weeks of the 2008-09 season, are down by 14% YoY

  • MoM U.S. cocoa bean imports rose 56.3% in June, and 330.8% YoY, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday.

  • The USDA's 2009-2010 U.S. ending stocks estimate for:
  • Corn was raised from 1.550 to 1.621 billion bushels.
  • Soybeans lowered from 250 to 210 million bushels.
  • Wheat was raised from 706 to 743 million bushels.
  • Sugar was reaised from 359,000 to 709,000 tons.
  • Cotton unchanged at 5.60 million bales.

  • The USDA's 2009-2010 world ending stocks estimate for:
  • Corn was raised from 139 to 141 million tons.
  • Soybeans lowered from 52 to 50 million tons.
  • Wheat was raised from 181 to 184 million tons.
  • Cotton was lowered from 58 to 57 million bales.

  • China buys another 4.2 mln bu of new-crop beans this AM

  • The median price of an existing U.S. single-family home fell to $174,100, the National Association of Realtors said today. Total sales rose 3.8% QoQ and fell 2.9% YoY.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Quick Overview

  • YoY U.S. non-farm productivity rose 1.8% in Q2, more than expected.

  • U.S. business sales rose 0.4% in June

  • U.S. inventories fell 1.7%.

  • YoY Russia’s GDP fell 10.9% in Q2.

  • UK July Retail Sales rose 3.6% YoY

  • UK same store sales rose 1.8%

  • Australia’s July Business Confidence rose to 10 from 4 in June

  • China July Producer Price Index fell 8.2% YoY

  • China's July Consumer Price Index fell 1.8% YoY

  • China's July Exports fell 23.0% YoY

  • China's July Imports fell -14.9% YoY

  • Japan's July Consumer Confidence rose to 39.7 from 38.1 in June.

  • Germany’s July Wholesale Price Index fell -10.6% YoY

  • China's domestic soybean output growth can't match the rate of rising demand, so imports will continue to rise, a government official said Tuesday. China's soybean imports this year will likely total around 40 million metric tons, compared with 37.44 million tons last year, according to General Administration of Customs data. In the January-July period, China imported 26.48 million tons of soybeans, up 28% YoY

  • More than 62% of ships on order today are bigger than 4,000 TEU, and only 11% are under that size at a time when smaller ships will be the first to benefit from recovery, according to Paris-based Alphaliner.

Monday, August 10, 2009

Quick Overview

  • Japan's machinery orders rose 9.7% in June

  • Norway’s July CPI fell -0.6% MoM

  • GM and eBay will launch a pilot program Tuesday that will allow consumers to place online bids for new vehicles from GM dealers in California

  • (Bloomberg) -- White sugar rose to a record in London as India, the world’s biggest consumer and second-largest producer, cut its forecast for monsoon rain, potentially worsening a global supply shortfall.

  • Sugar supplies may not be enough to meet demand, and stocks at the end of the current crop year are seen at around 20 million tonnes, well below other analysts' estimates of 30-70 million tonnes, Czarnikow said.

  • Egypt lifts import duty on raw and refined sugar from Aug. 15 until end of year to reduce consumer prices.

  • Indonesia has set a ceiling price for white sugar sold by local cane millers at 6,500 rupiah (66 U.S. cents) a kg to prevent soaring local prices, the trade minister said on Friday.

  • (SSY News) Latest information from China’s iron ore ports indicate that a total of 47 Capesize vessels are waiting to berth compared with a peak of 88 in mid-June.

Saturday, August 08, 2009


Jim Rogers Says U.S. Commodity Curbs to Drive Markets Overseas
“It is remarkable because America is shooting itself in the foot again,” he said in an interview in Singapore today. “It’s going to drive the business away and the rest of the world is going to welcome it with open arms.”