Quick Overview

• The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25%, as expected.
  
  

• U.S. Treasury Secretary Paulson said he feared that support for keeping U.S. markets open to foreign investment was breaking down.
  

• Japan's leading indicators out at 40% in March, a sign of slower growth ahead.
  

• Consumer confidence in the U.K. rose from 88 to 90 in April.
  

• The U.S. Department of Energy said that:
  Supplies of crude oil were up 5.6 million barrels last week to 341.2 million barrels.
  Supplies of gasoline were up 400,000 barrels
  Supplies of heating oil were down 500,000 barrels
  Gasoline demand was up 1.0% YoY
  Distillate demand was up 5.2% YoY.

American dream sours as housing market collapses
Home owners' losses will total an estimated $164 billion (£82 billion), according to the Centre for Responsible Lending, an independent research group.

Quick Overview

• U.S. wholesale sales were up 1.8% in March while inventories were up 0.3%. YoY wholesale sales were up 8.4%.
  

• Australian Retail sales were up 1.1% MoM.
  

• Housing starts in Canada were down 1% MoM.

Quick Overview

• The Federal Reserve's reported that consumer credit increased at a rapid annual rate of 6.7 percent in March. This is up from February's 2.8 percent growth rate and is the biggest increase since November.
  

• German factory orders were up 2.4% in March and up 9.9% YoY.
  

Regulators Warn Against Currency Trades
The regulators said trading in foreign currencies, especially outside of big exchanges such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, is "at best extremely risky, and at worst, plagued by outright fraud."

Bush Approval at New Low, Matches Carter, Poll Says The poll also found that 71 percent of Americans are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the U.S.

Only Mike Gravel and Ron Paul Get It Both for Republicans and Democrats fence-straddling on the war, let alone calls to "stay the course" are being seen as increasingly dangerous or fatal options.

Quick Overview

• U.S. Unemployment rate rose from 4.4% to 4.5% in April with a gain of 88,000 jobs, the weakest monthly increase in more than two years. Nonfarm payrolls in February were revised up 23,000 while March's figures were reduced by 3,000.
  
  

• Australia reduced its 2007 estimate of core inflation from 2.75% to 2.50%.
  
  

• Brazil's Stock Market broke 50,000 for the first time.
  
  
  

• Brazil expects to produce 5.34 billion gallons of ethanol (from sugar)in 2007, the most ever and up 13% YoY.

• Brazil expects sugar production at 31.3 million tons in 2007-2008, up 5% YoY.
  
  

• Kansas Wheat Quality Tour found surprisingly big crops, saying the wheat in western Kansas should more than make up for the yield losses from freeze-damaged wheat in traditionally high-yielding parts of the state. But how much damaged wheat will be harvested remains a wild card.
  
  

• Crude palm oil's bull run is likely to continue for at least another decade, analysts predicted at an international vegetable oil conference.

Quick Overview

• U.S. jobless claims were down 21,000 last week to 305,000, the lowest level in three months.
  

• The Institute of Supply Management's index of U.S. services increased from 52.4 to 56.0 in April, stronger than expected.
  

• The Fed holdings of Treasury and agency debt for overseas central banks rose $772 million in the week ended May 2, to stand at $1.929 trillion.

US proposes global ban on fishing aid
A US proposal for a global ban on billions of dollars in subsidies that drive overfishing of the oceans has won widespread support from World Trade Organisation members and raised hopes for an international pact later this year.

Quick Overview

• U.S. factory orders were up 3.1% in March and more expected.
  

• The unemployment rate in the Euro area fell from 7.3% to 7.2%.
  

• The Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates unchanged at 6.25%.
  

• The U.S. Department of Energy said that:
  Supplies of crude oil were up 1.1 million barrels to 335.6 million barrels.
  Supplies of gasoline were down 1.1 million barrels
  Supplies of heating oil supplies were down 900,000 barrels.
  Gasoline demand was up 1.6% YoY
  Distillate demand was up 5.4% YoY.

Quick Overview

• The US manufacturing grew more strongly than expected. The Institute for Supply Management manufacturing index rose to 54.7 in April from March's 50.9.
  

• The National Association of Realtors said pending U.S. home sales fell 4.9% in March, more than expected.
  

• Manufacturing in the U.K. fell from 54.2 to 53.9 in April.
  
  

• A new ETF replicating the DAX Global Russia Index started trading. The index is made up of 30 publicly traded companies domiciled in Russia. Symbol RSX.
  

Quick Overview

• U.S. Personal incomes rose 0.7% in March and consumer spending was up 0.3% -- less than expected.
  

• The core personal consumption expenditure price index rose 2.1% YoY.
  

• The Chicago purchasing managers' index fell from 61.7 to 52.9 in April, weaker than expected.
  

• U.S. Construction spending was at an annual rate of $1.1878 billion in March, up slightly from February's pace. YoY construction spending is down 2.4%.
  

• Canada's real GDP was up 0.4% in February and up 2.1% YoY, more than expected.
  

• YoY consumer prices in the Euro area rose 1.8% in April.
  

• Germany's retail sales fell 0.7% in March, more than expected.
  

• China raised the reserve requirement from 10.5% to 11.0%.
  

• Zuericher Kantonalbank, will launch ETFs for platinum, palladium and silver on May 10.
  

• Mineworkers in Peru went on strike demanding higher pay. (Copper)
  
  

China Shipbuilders, Rivaling U.S. in WWII, to Cut Freight Costs
April 30 (Bloomberg) -- The cost of shipping coal and iron- ore is about to decline as the supply of cargo vessels overwhelms demand.
Japan, China and South Korea will produce so many vessels that shipping costs, now at an all-time high, will fall 40 percent by 2010, according to futures contracts traded privately between banks, transportation companies and hedge funds.

Quick Overview

• U.S. GDP rose 1.3% in the first quarter, weaker than expected due to the slow housing sector. YoY real U.S. GDP rose 2.8%. The GDP price deflator rose 4.0% YoY.
  

• The U.S. employment cost index was up 0.8% in the first quarter and up 3.5% YoY.
  

• There is the potential for a downturn in the U.S. economy that could have ripple effects around the world, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Janet Yellen said.
  

• YoY Japans consumer prices fell 0.1%.
  YoY Japans retail sales were down 0.7% while household spending was up 0.1%.
  Japans industrial production fell 0.6% in March
  Japans unemployment rate remained at 4.0%.
  The Bank of Japan left interest rate unchanged at 0.50%,
  

• Mexico increased its overnight interest rate from 7.00% to 7.25%.
  
  

S&P/Case-Shiller: Home Price Declines Show No Signs of Abating
The S&P/Case-Shiller Index, which is one of the best gauges of the housing market out there, hasn’t recorded monthly declines on this level in almost 15 years. Robert Shiller, who’s Chief Economist at MacroMarkets LLC, and one of the leading authorities on real estate in the country, said that month-to-month declines are also persisting, with 17 out of the 20 cities down from their levels in January. If the chart below was a roller coaster, riders would now be holding on for dear life.

Quick Overview

• U.S. Jobless claims were down 20,000 last week to 321,000, the lowest in a month.
  

• The U.S. DOE said that underground supplies of natural gas were up 18 billion cubic at 1.564 trillion cubic feet.
  
  
  

• The International Grain Council estimates world wheat production for the 2007/2008 season at 623 million tonnes, down 1 million from last month because of freeze damage in the US. World ending stocks are anticipated to rise to 117 million tonnes which would be up 2 million from this year but still down from 134 million tonnes last year.
  
  

• The yen traded near a record low against the Euro before a Japanese government report forecast to show consumer prices fell in March for a second straight month.

Are GM Crops Killing Bees?

..But that could soon change. Since last November, the US has seen a decline in bee populations so dramatic that it eclipses all previous incidences of mass mortality. Beekeepers on the east coast of the United States complain that they have lost more than 70 percent of their stock since late last year, while the west coast has seen a decline of up to 60 percent.

Studies show it's a gold mine at the top
..If you didn't make at least $240 million last year, you didn't make the list.

Quick Overview

• U.S. durable goods orders rose 3.4% in March.
  

• U.S. new home sales were at an annual rate of 858,000 in March up 2.6% MoM, but weaker than expected. For 2007, new home sales are down 23% YoY.
  

• GDP in South Korea rose 4% YoY.
  

• GDP in the U.K. was up 0.7% QoQ. YoY GDP was up 2.8%.
  
  
  

• The U.S. DOE said that:
  Supplies of crude oil rose 2.1 million barrels to 334.5 million barrels.
  Supplies of gasoline were down 2.8 million barrels
  Supplies of heating oil were down 2.6 million barrels.
  U.S. refinery capacity was at 87.8%, down from 90.4% the previous week.
  
  

• The International Copper Study Group estimates world copper production exceeded consumption by 40,000 tons in January. World mine production was up 9% YoY, total usage was up 6% YoY.
  

• There is concern about dry weather in Australia, China, and Eastern Europe – July wheat closed at a new contract high.
  

Quick Overview

• The National Association of Realtors said that U.S. existing home sales were at an annual rate of 6.12 million units in March, down 8.4% from the previous month and weaker than expected. YoY Median home prices were down 0.3% in March.
  

• U.S. consumer confidence dropped from 108.2 to 104.0 in April, more than expected.
  

• YoY consumer prices in Australia were up 2.4% in the first quarter, down from a 3.3% gain in the previous quarter.
  

• The Bank of Canada kept its interest rate unchanged at 4.25%.
  

• Canada's composite index of leading indicators was up 0.4% in March.
  

• Industrial new orders in the Euro area were down 0.7% MoM, and up 4.7% YoY.
  

• India's central bank kept its interest rate unchanged.
  
  
• Canadian farmers intend to plant:
  3.5 million acres of corn this year, up 26% YoY.
  17.1 million acres of spring wheat, down 16% YoY.
  14.8 million acres of canola, up 12% YOY.
  
  
  
  

Yen Climbs After Standard & Poor's Raises Japan's Debt Rating
``This is a sign the economy has returned to normal, following a long period when people lost confidence in Japan,'' said Masanobu Ishikawa, general manager of foreign exchange at Tokyo Forex & Ueda Harlow Ltd. ``As a trading factor, this may have a positive impact on the yen in the long term.''

Quick Overview

• U.K. Retail sales increased 0.3% MoM and 4.5% YoY.
  

• Canadian retail sales rose 0.1% MoM and up 5.2% YoY.
  

• The USDA said there were 11.644 million head of cattle on feed on April 1st, down 1.4% YoY. Placements were up 7%, marketing’s were down 6% YoY.
  

• The USDA said there were 55.3 million pounds of frozen bellies in storage on March 31st, down 10% YoY. Frozen pork supplies totaled 506 million pounds.
  
  

• The Chocolate Manufacturers Association said the U.S. cocoa grind totaled 97,584 tons in the first quarter of 2007, down 7% YoY.
  

• Brazilian increased its estimate of this year's coffee harvest to 32.0 million bags.
  
  

• The USDA said there were 825 million pounds of frozen orange juice concentrate in storage on March 31st, down 18% YoY.

House OKs Bill to Give Investors Say on Executive Pay Bloomberg -- The U.S. House of Representatives approved a measure to give shareholders more say on how companies pay top executives, rejecting amendments by Republicans who said investors already have the power to influence compensation.
The measure, approved 269-134, aims to rein in pay levels House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank and other top Democrats called exorbitant by giving public-company shareholders annual non-binding votes on executive salaries.

Quick Overview

• The Conference Board's U.S. index of leading indicators was up 0.1%
  

• U.S. Jobless claims were down 4,000 last week to 339,000.
  

• Japan's index of services, increased 1.0% in February to a new record high, much stronger than expected.
  

• China's economy grew at a faster than expected 11.1 % pace, powered by exports that have inflamed trade tensions and increased the risk of overheating.
  
  
  

• Canada Core CPI YoY at 2.3% as expected.
  

• The DOE said that underground supplies of natural gas were down 46 billion cubic feet to 1.546 trillion cubic feet. YoY supplies are down 12%.
  

Global Commodity Price Boom May Last Decades Longer, RBA Says
(Bloomberg) -- Emerging economies' demand for resources may sustain high commodity prices for several decades, Australia's central bank said.

Quick Overview

• The U.S. Department of Energy said that:
  Supplies of crude oil were down 1.0 million barrels last week to 332.4 million barrels.
  Supplies of gasoline were down 2.7 million barrels
  Supplies of heating oil were down 600,000 barrels.
  In the past four weeks gasoline demand was up 2.5%
  
  

Platinum leaders berate fund launch The world's two largest platinum producers have voiced opposition to the planned launch of a platinum exchange traded fund announced last week by Zurich Cantonal Bank of Switzerland.
Trevor Raymond, head of investor relations at AngloPlat, said the ETF would put upward pressure on prices and would have a negative impact on jewellery demand.

Foreclosures, default notices hit 10-year high
Homes lost to foreclosures in California shot up to 11,033 in the first quarter, an 81.5 percent climb from 6,078 in the previous quarter, according to DataQuick Information Systems. Foreclosures rocketed 802.1 percent from 1,223 in the first quarter last year but remained below the 1996 peak of 15,418.

Quick Overview

• U.S. consumer prices rose 0.6% in March and up 2.8% YoY. Excluding food and energy costs, prices rose 0.1% in March and up 2.5% YoY
  

• U.S. housing starts were at an annual rate of 1.518 million units up 0.8% from February's, but down 23% YoY. So far in 2007, housing starts are down 30% YoY.
  

• U.S. banking regulators urged lenders on Tuesday to help distressed borrowers unable to make mortgage payments and offered possible incentives to move homeowners to lower-cost loans.
  

• U.S. industrial production was down 0.2% in March and up 2.3% YoY, weaker than expected.
  

• U.K.'s consumer price was up 3.1% YoY, the most in a decade.
  

• Canada's factory shipments were down 0.2% MoM.
  

Quick Overview

• Retail sales rose 0.7% in March, the biggest jump in three months, the Commerce Department said.
  
  

• The U.S. Treasury Department said that in February, foreign investors bought $77.9 billion of long-term U.S. securities while U.S. investors bought $19.8 billion of foreign securities.
  

• The New York Federal Reserve's regional index of manufacturing increased from 1.85 to 3.80 in April.
  

• New vehicle sales in Canada were down 3.7% in February.
  

Updates resume April 15

Quick Overview

• Federal Reserve policymakers were unanimous in the view last month that inflation, not economic weakness, was their major worry.

• Machinery orders in Japan were down 5.2% in February, more than expected.
  
  
• The International Monetary Fund estimates 2007 real GDP growth:
• US 2.2%.
• Canada 2.4%
• U.K 2.9%
• Euro Area 2.3%
• Japan 2.3%
  
  
  

• The U.S. DOE said:
  Supplies of crude oil were up 700,000 barrels to 333.4 million barrels.
  Supplies of gasoline were down 5.5 million barrels
  Supplies of heating oil supplies were down 1.2 million barrels.
  Gasoline demand was up 2.5% YoY, and distillate demand was down 1.3% YoY

Gas guzzler penalty fuels debate
California drivers who buy new Hummers, Ford Expeditions and other big vehicles that emit high levels of greenhouse gases would pay a fee of up to $2,500.
And drivers who buy more fuel-efficient cars — like the Toyota Prius or Ford Focus — would receive rebates of up to $2,500, straight from the gas-guzzlers' pockets.

Quick Overview

• The Bank of Japan kept the interest rate unchanged at 0.50%.
  

• Nickel prices broke through the $50,000 mark for the first time on Tuesday, leading a surge in base metals prices as traders returned to their desks following the Easter break.
  

• The USDA's 2006-2007 U.S. ending stocks estimate for:
  Corn was increased from 752 to 877 million bushels.
  Soybeans were increased from 595 to 615 million bushels.
  Wheat was reduced from 472 to 422 million bushels.
  Sugar was increased from 1.686 to 1.743 million tons.
  Cotton was increased from 8.80 to 9.20 million bales.
  

• The USDA's 2006-2007 world ending stocks estimate for:
  Corn was increased from 88 to 92 million tons.
  Soybeans were increased from 57 to 61 million tons.
  Wheat was kept at 121 million tons.
  Cotton was increased from 52.4 to 52.6 million bales.
  

• The estimated soybean production in Argentina was increased from 44.0 to 45.5 million tons.
  

• The estimate for Brazil was increased from 57.0 to 58.8 million tons.
  

• Brazil expects the 2007-2008 coffee crop at 37.5 million (60-kg) bags, more than expected.
  
  

• The USDA reduced its estimate of the Florida orange crop from 132 to 131 million boxes, but increased the juice yield from 1.62 to 1.65 gallons a box.
  
  

Quick Overview

• Brazil's main stock index surged past 47,000 points on Monday, setting yet another record, and the nation's currency neared two per dollar.
  
  

• Berkshire Hathaway, has bought a 10.9% stake in Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp., becoming the railroad’s largest shareholder.
  
  

• Gasoline pump prices jumped 18 cents in the past two weeks to $2.79 a gallon, the highest since September, analyst Trilby Lundberg said in her latest filling station survey released Sunday.

Robert Fisk: The true story of free speech in America
Sami al-Arian is 49 but he stayed on hunger strike for 60 days to protest the government outrage committed against him, a burlesque of justice which has, of course, largely failed to rouse the sleeping dogs of American journalism in New York, Washington and Los Angeles.
All praise, then, to the journalist John Sugg from Tampa, Florida, who has been cataloguing al-Arian's little Golgotha for months, along with Alexander Cockburn of Counter Punch.

Conservatives for the Constitution
Rejecting the suggestion that conservatives must remain silent because Bush is supposedly one of their own, Viguerie says, "Conservatives must not fail to oppose the massive expansion of presidential powers out of fear they will be aid and comfort to the Left. Concern about one branch of government acquiring excessive power should not be the providence of liberals, moderates, or conservatives. It must be the concern of all Americans who value liberty…"

Representatives okay Real ID ban Supporters of the ban said New Hampshire needs to send a clear statement that the federal government strayed too far.
"It is probably the worst piece of blackmail to come out of the federal government. This is pure, unadulterated blackmail," said. Rep. Sherman Packard, a Republican from Londonderry.

Quick Overview

• U.S. Unemployment rate improved from 4.5% to 4.4% in March with a net gain of 180,000 jobs, better than expected.
  

• U.S. Average hourly earnings were up 0.3% in March and up 4.0% YoY.

Climate change
The resulting document predicts the same sorts of consequences as its predecessor did in 2001, but with much greater confidence and precision, says Camille Parmesan, a professor at the University of Texas who vetted part of it. By her count, the chapter on current impacts alone rests on a review of over 1,000 academic studies, most of them already published—compared with about 100 last time around.

Quick Overview

• China today raised its reserve ratio by 0.5 points to 10.5%, which was the sixth hike in less than a year.
  
  

• The U.S. Labor Department said that jobless claims were up 11,000 last week to 321,000.
  
  

• The unemployment rate in Canada was unchanged at 6.1%.
  

• The Bank of England keep the interest rate unchanged at 5.25%.
  

• The U.S. Department of Energy said underground supplies of natural gas were up 58 billion cubic feet at 1.569 trillion cubic feet. Supplies are down 7% YoY.
  
  
  

Quick Overview

• The Institute of Supply Management's index of U.S. services dropped from 54.3 to 52.4 in March.
  

• Factory orders rose 1% in February following the biggest drop in six years, the Commerce Department said Wednesday
  
  

• An index of services in the U.K. increased from 57.4 to 57.6 in February, a sign of continued expansion.
  

• Eurostat said that retail trade volume in the Euro area was up 1.2% YoY.
  

• The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) said that:
  Supplies of crude oil were up 4.3 million barrels last week at 332.7 million barrels.
  Supplies of gasoline were down 5.0 million barrels
  Supplies of heating oil were down 200,000 barrels.
  YoY gasoline demand was up 1.7% and distillate demand was down 1.9% YoY.
  

• GFMS Ltd. said world gold mine production was down 3% in 06, the lowest level in ten years.
  

The botched US raid that led to the hostage crisis
A failed American attempt to abduct two senior Iranian security officers on an official visit to northern Iraq was the starting pistol for a crisis that 10 weeks later led to Iranians seizing 15 British sailors and Marines.

Quick Overview

• The National Association of Realtors said U.S. pending home sales increased from 108.5 to 109.3 in February, more than expected.
  
  

• Industrial consumption of silver, used in film, batteries and medical devices, grew 11 percent to a record 409.3 million ounces in 2005, GFMS Ltd. said.
  
  
  

• Arrivals of cocoa beans from the Ivory Coast's, were around 920,500 metric tons, down by 2.3% between Oct. 1 and March 31.
  
  
  

• Copper rose to the highest in five months on speculation that mine output may lag behind demand, especially from China.

Quick Overview

• Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President William Poole said the U.S. central bank's main concern remains inflation and he could be inclined to raise interest rates if price pressures did not ease.
  

• New Century Financial Corp. filed for bankruptcy Monday amid a surge in homeowner defaults, the biggest mortgage lender to collapse in the U.S. housing market.
  

• The Supreme Court Monday ordered the federal government to take a new look at regulating carbon dioxide emissions from vehicles, in a rebuke to the Bush administration’s policy on global warming, the Associated Press reported.
  
  

• The Institute of Supply Management's index of manufacturing dropped from 52.3 to 50.9 in March, slightly weaker than expected.
  
  

• Australia's retail sales were up 0.9% in February, better than expected.
  

• Japan's index of business sentiment, dropped 25 in December to 23 in March.
  

• Manufacturing index in the U.K. fell from 55.4 to 54.4 in March, more than expected.
  

• The USDA' said rain is badly needed in most Florida OJ areas.
  

• China announced that they will buy $12.5 billion worth of U.S. goods in May, including $2 billion of soybeans and $500 million of cotton

Quick Overview

• U.S. Personal income was up 0.6% in February and U.S. consumer spending rose 0.6%.
  U.S. Core rate of personal consumption expenditures rose 0.3% in February and 2.4% YoY.
  The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index fell from 91.3 to 88.4 MoM.
  The Chicago purchasing managers index rose from 47.9 to 61.7 MoM, more than expected.
  U.S. Construction spending rose 0.3% MoM.
  The U.S. said it will impose duties on imports of coated paper from China, raising fears of protectionism.

• Japans unemployment rate was 4.0% in February, the lowest in over eight years.
  Japans household spending in Japan was up 1.3% in February, stronger than expected.
  Japans Industrial production was down 0.2% in February, stronger than expected.
  YoY Japans consumer prices were down 0.2% in February.
  

• Canada's real GDP increased 0.1% in January and 2.0% YoY.
  Canada’s Industrial Product Price was up 4.4% YoY.
  

• Inflation in the euro 13 region will probably reach 1.9 percent in March, the European Union said Friday.
  The unemployment rate in the Euro area fell from 7.4% to 7.3% in February.
  Business sentiment in the Euro area rose from 109.7 to 111.2 MoM.
  

• The unemployment rate in France fell from 8.5% to 8.4% MoM, the lowest in 24 years.
  

• GDP in New Zealand rose 1.5% YoY.
  

• India's central bank raised interest rates to 7.75%.
  

• The USDA's Prospective Plantings report expects:
  90.45 million acres of corn planted this spring, up from 78.3 million acres a year ago. (The biggest corn plantings since 1944) (est. 87.98)
  67.14 million acres of soybeans, down from 75.5 million acres a year ago. (est. 69.17)
  60.30 million acres of wheat, up from 57.3 million acres a year ago.
  12.15 million acres of cotton, down from 15.27 million acres a year ago.
  

• The USDA said that on March 1, 07 there were:
  6.07 billion bushels of corn stocks, down 13% YoY.
  1.78 billion bushels of soybean stocks, up 7% YoY.
  856 million bushels of wheat stocks, down 12% YoY.
  
  
  

Updates resume March 31st.

Quick Overview

• The Conference Board index of U.S. consumer confidence dropped from 111.2 to 107.2 in March, weaker than expected.
  

• German business confidence rose from 107.0 to 107.7 in March, stronger than expected.
  

• The U.S. military denied reports that Iran fired a missile at a U.S. ship in the Persian Gulf. The rumors sent oil prices up more than 8 percent in after-hours trading.

Bloomberg Special Report - Phantom Shares
relinked

Quick Overview

• U.S. New home sales were weaker than expected down 3.9% from January's pace. This # is dimming hopes for a rebound in the housing market and increasing worries about the health of the economy